Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DIA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 11, 2018

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Wed. Apr. 24, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)
DIA latest price $244.2300 (-0.2%) ($242.6600 - $248.5000) on Tue. Dec. 11, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $244.2300(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   DIA declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XHB(75%)    GDXJ(26%)    VIXM(20%)    IFRA(19%)    VCIT(12%)
Factors Impacting DIA price   DIA will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
INDA(-21%)    EMHY(-18%)    SPLV(-17%)    IWD(-15%)    SDY(-14%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

Resistance Level   $249.64
5 Day Moving Average   $246.74(-1.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $250.11(-2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $249.64(-2.17%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. DIA price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 1.39%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(58%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 2.08%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -2.4%(37%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.92%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.41%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2018	255.08	249.64	250.11	246.74	245.92	244.65	244.23(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-81	-50	-96	-36	5.65	46%	-0.02	-62.2	1.2%	0	-1.2	44	-1.5
2	Dec_10_2018	255.13	250.38	250.43	249.64	247.98	245.26	244.71(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-157	-100	-191	-56	6.02	46%	-0.02	-38.6	1.21%	0	-1.3	39	-1.8
3	Dec_7_2018	255.17	251.2	250.39	251.8	251.9	247.18	244.31(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-165	-130	-202	-53	5.96	46%	-0.02	-16	1.21%	0	-1.5	41	-2.4
4	Dec_6_2018	255.21	252.03	250.55	253.66	253.69	250.7	249.72(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-243	-80	-297	-79	8.23	48%	0.02	4.5	1.18%	0	-0.5	50	-1.3
5	Dec_4_2018	255.15	252.32	250.1	254.48	255.29	256.63	250.73(-3.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	26	50	20	44	5.38	48%	0.01	14.7	1.17%	0	-0.3	48	-0.8

6	Dec_3_2018	255.13	252.48	250	253.83	254.58	256.69	258.73(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	201	70	230	115	9.52	52%	0.04	20	1.1%	0	1.2	55	1.7
7	Nov_30_2018	255.02	252.1	249.38	251.37	251.34	253.96	255.51(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	121	70	147	42	2.99	51%	0.03	12.8	1.09%	0	0.7	42	1.1
8	Nov_29_2018	254.94	251.96	248.98	248.83	249.17	252.47	253.59(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	202	100	257	37	3.47	51%	0.04	2.5	1.09%	0	0.3	37	0.7
9	Nov_28_2018	254.85	251.81	248.58	247.04	246.58	248.72	253.84(2.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	130	60	185	-36	5.13	51%	0.02	-2.5	1.09%	0	0.4	38	1
10	Nov_27_2018	254.79	251.54	248.35	245.17	245.09	245.88	247.5(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	24	20	71	-119	2.93	49%	0.01	-15.2	1.04%	0	-0.8	40	0.6

11	Nov_26_2018	254.77	251.42	248.92	245.64	244.91	244.43	246.39(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-77	-20	-48	-163	3.44	49%	0.02	-19.3	1.05%	0	-0.9	41	0.4
12	Nov_23_2018	254.73	251.46	250.16	247.17	246.37	244.31	242.81(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-147	-70	-139	-170	1.93	46%	0	-17.8	1.03%	0	-1.6	40	-0.7
13	Nov_21_2018	254.72	251.84	252.01	249.14	248.83	245.38	244.65(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-187	-100	-198	-154	4.26	46%	0.02	-11.4	1.02%	0	-1.4	40	-0.4
14	Nov_20_2018	254.67	251.94	253.66	250.27	250.18	248.43	244.5(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-224	-50	-251	-141	7.34	46%	0.02	-16.1	1.02%	0	-1.5	45	-1.1
15	Nov_19_2018	254.63	252.31	254.87	251.86	251.88	252.28	249.86(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1	10	-0	-5	4.25	49%	0.04	-13.3	0.99%	0	-0.5	55	-0.2

16	Nov_16_2018	254.54	252.45	255.35	252.61	252.26	251.94	254.05(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-2	-10	-10	23	4.53	55%	0.06	-8.3	0.97%	0	0.4	67	0.5
17	Nov_15_2018	254.39	252.42	255.18	253.7	253.06	251.48	252.62(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-103	-50	-137	-0	5.67	55%	0.05	-0.6	0.99%	0	0	62	-0.2
18	Nov_14_2018	254.26	252.43	255.29	255.47	255.31	252.57	250.31(-0.85%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-142	-80	-193	13	5.61	55%	0.04	13.7	0.98%	0	-0.5	53	-0.5
19	Nov_13_2018	254.16	252.71	255.42	257.64	257.59	254.65	252.46(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-159	-80	-226	44	3.94	55%	0.05	27.4	0.98%	0	-0.1	62	-0.2
20	Nov_12_2018	254.04	252.92	255.09	258.27	259.16	258.04	253.62(-2.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-64	-20	-116	94	10.15	55%	0.04	25.4	0.98%	0	0.1	53	-0.2

21	Nov_9_2018	253.94	252.82	254.24	258.32	258.78	260.54	259.47(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	101	50	80	162	4.39	57%	0.07	14	0.94%	0	1.4	57	0.8
22	Nov_8_2018	253.76	252.44	252.9	256.8	257.1	260.28	261.48(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	239	90	254	195	4.02	57%	0.07	-5.6	0.94%	0	2	57	0.8
23	Nov_7_2018	253.59	251.8	251.6	255.13	255.01	257.02	261.16(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	220	50	240	159	4.46	57%	0.06	-35.4	0.94%	0	2.3	58	0.9
24	Nov_6_2018	253.43	251.44	249.93	253.02	253.2	253.92	255.62(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	85	20	98	47	2.19	54%	0.03	-59.3	0.9%	0	1	47	0.1
25	Nov_5_2018	253.35	251.74	249.39	251.51	252.22	252.99	253.88(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	82	30	105	13	2.83	54%		-63.5	0.9%	0	0.4	43	-0.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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