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     Tue. Nov. 29, 2016

Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Wed. Mar. 27, 2024)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)

DIA latest price $183.1896 (0.21%) ($182.7010 - $183.4100) on Tue. Nov. 29, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  0.65% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $183.1896(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Top Holdings  Top Holding List
Daily Trend  DIA advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  DIA advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support DIA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XHB(74%)    GDXJ(23%)    VCIT(10%)    VCSH(9%)    GDX(8%)  
Factors Impacting DIA price  DIA will decline at least -0.325% in a week (0% probabilities).
  EMHY(-13%)    INDA(-11%)    SHY(-9%)    SPLV(-8%)    XLU(-7%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -0.325% (StdDev 0.65%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   0.2%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $182.79(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average  $181.89(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average  $178.8(2.46%)
To recent high  -0.1%
To recent low  7.3%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Average Volume   million
BBV (position on Bollinger band)  1
One Month Target Price  > $183.19
(if BBV positive, VIX trend negative.)
Correction Price  < $177.24
 
Fed Fund Rate  % ()
Yield Curve   (0)
Credit Spread   (0)
 

$. The price is -0.1% to new high. In the past, the price will move at least 10% above the recent low once it hits new high. Now it's -0.8% away from the target price of 183.19.
$. DIA price fluctuates within 2.39% (three month std-dev: 0.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5   Average positive next day return: 0.32%(80%)   Average negative next day return: -0.52%(20%)
Sample size 5   Average positive next three day return: 2.1%(80%)   Average negative next three day return: -0.21%(20%)
Sample size 5   Average positive next weekly return: 2.46%(80%)   Average negative next weekly return: -0.38%(20%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20161229

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
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BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Nov_29_2016175.43178.8181.89182.79 182.85 182.95183.19(0.21%)UTHoldLong650.1   37   0   12   110   2.26    59%0.0656.90.65%0190INF
2Nov_28_2016175.32178.3181.61182.44 182.58 183.03182.8(-0.27%)TPCloseLong-100.1   74   20   50   146   3.16    59%0.0653.90.65%0191INF
3Nov_25_2016175.21177.82181.33181.99 182.14 182.74183.3(0.37%)UTHoldLong650.3   111   30   83   194   1.55    59%0.1152.10.65%01.396INF
4Nov_23_2016175.02177.31180.97181.51 181.54 182.13182.61(0.3%)UTHoldLong650.3   108   20   70   220   2.47    59%0.0751.30.65%01.393INF
5Nov_22_2016174.89176.85180.49181.1 181.14 181.55182.07(0.36%)UTHoldLong650.2   110   20   66   241   2.76    59%0.0550.90.65%01.391INF
 
6Nov_21_2016174.81176.4179.83180.87 180.77 180.96181.42(0.47%)UTHoldLong650.1   82   10   29   241   3    59%0.0652.60.65%01.385INF
7Nov_18_2016174.7176.01179.15180.65 180.6 180.73180.57(-0.16%)UDOpenLong75-0   75   0   18   245   4.36    59%0.0655.10.64%01.377INF
8Nov_17_2016174.59175.62178.23180.55 180.52 180.57180.87(0.17%)UTHoldLong650.1   77   0   23   238   4.21    59%0.07570.64%01.577INF
9Nov_16_2016174.46175.22177.29180.33 180.28 180.57180.56(-0.19%)UDOpenLong750.1   76   10   25   227   3.46    59%0.0960.60.64%01.675INF
10Nov_15_2016174.3174.86176.38179.75 179.96 180.47180.91(0.3%)UTOpenLong750.4   134   20   101   231   3.75    59%0.1160.80.65%0275INF
 
11Nov_14_2016174.11174.44175.49178.62 178.8 180.1180.36(0.16%)UTOpenLong750.6   154   50   136   208   4.8    59%0.0957.60.65%02.175INF
12Nov_11_2016173.95174.02174.72177.39 177.38 179.46180.07(0.18%)UTOpenLong751.1   244   80   253   218   5    59%0.0547.80.65%02.571INF
13Nov_10_2016173.86173.64173.99175.53 175.86 177.51179.75(1.17%)UTOpenLong752.1   266   70   294   181   8.75    59%0.0729.80.65%03.173INF
14Nov_9_2016173.74173.25173.29173.8 173.83 175.31177.68(1.41%)UTOpenLong752.8   140   60   161   78   8.36    56%0.052.50.64%03.167INF
15Nov_8_2016173.66173172.83172.54 172.72 174.21175.21(0.56%)UTOpenLong752.7   166   60   203   56   3.44    51%0.04-36.20.61%02.256INF
 
16Nov_7_2016173.59172.87172.61171.92 171.92 172.36174.24(2.04%)N/AN/A02.4   83   20   111   0   3.4    51%0.04-57.10.61%01.455INF
17Nov_4_2016173.52172.88172.54171.69 171.64 171.23170.75(-0.22%)DTOpenShort-75-1   -66   -20   -63   -76   4.34    48%0.02-61.80.56%0-2.240INF
18Nov_3_2016173.49173.05172.8172.19 172.2 171.48171.13(-0.13%)DTOpenShort-75-1.3   -83   -30   -88   -68   1.97    48%0.02-57.10.56%0-2.338INF
19Nov_2_2016173.45173.21173.03172.66 172.71 172.05171.36(-0.43%)DTOpenShort-75-1.7   -102   -30   -116   -60   3.55    48%0.02-39.50.56%0-2.544INF
20Nov_1_2016173.41173.36173.28173.12 173.26 172.91172.1(-0.58%)DTOpenShort-75-1.6   -45   -10   -54   -16   3.62    48%0.02-30.60.57%0-244INF
 
21Oct_31_2016173.37173.43173.4173.38 173.41 173.38173.1(-0.1%)N/AN/A0-0.5   -19   -0   -27   4   1.42    50%0.02-250.56%0-0.652INF
22Oct_28_2016173.33173.47173.35173.53 173.48 173.6173.28(-0.09%)UDOpenLong75-0.4   8   0   7   11   3.73    50%0.02-5.90.56%0-0.338INF
23Oct_27_2016173.3173.53173.33173.5 173.62 173.45173.44(-0.13%)UDOpenLong75-0.1   19   -0   21   11   2.03    50%0.02-5.70.56%0-0.246INF
24Oct_26_2016173.27173.51173.26173.47 173.39 173.36173.67(0.16%)DPOpenShort-750.3   -39   -0   -44   -25   5.38    50%0.02-21.10.56%00.246INF
25Oct_25_2016173.23173.56173.2173.48 173.47 173.8173.4(-0.26%)N/AN/A0-0.1   26   10   35   0   3.35    50%-18.40.56%0-0.243INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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