Home      Tickers | SPY | NQ100 | DOW | Global | Sector ETFs | 3x ETFs | ETF Movers | Stock Movers | Trading Alerts
     ^  DIA:  Intraday  Forecast  Similar  Waves  Research  Timing  Gains  Losses  Strategies  Practice
     Mon. May. 9, 2016



Trading Signals: DIA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF)

DIA latest price $166.9591 (-0.2%) ($166.6195 - $167.6949) on Mon. May. 9, 2016.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Correction
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  DIA declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  DIA declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support DIA decline at-0.7% a week (76% probability)
  XHB(81%)    FEX(22%)    GDXJ(14%)    MCHI(11%)    VCIT(11%)  
Factors Impacting DIA price  DIA will decline at least -0.3% in a week (17% probabilities).
  SHY(-25%)    EMHY(-18%)    XLU(-13%)    BND(-11%)    INDA(-10%)  
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.5
 
Relative Volatility   -0.6 (options are cheap)
 
Hourly BBV   0
Hourly Trend   0.09% [$166.83(0.25), $166.68(-0.03)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


DIA Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  50%
Bullish Price Move  0.7%
Bearish Probability  50%
Bearish Price Move  -0.7%
Recommended Position Size  0%
Latest Price  $166.9591
Next Hour Price  $166.96(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $165.64(-0.79%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $165.42 - $166.54
Resistance Level  $168.45
5 Day Moving Average  $166.86(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average  $167.74(-0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average  $168.45(-0.89%)
To recent high  -2.1%
To recent low  13.6%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
Advance Ratio  60%
Stage of the Market  Normal
 
 


  
 
Short-term volatility trend  Equity Bearish (0.1)
Mid-term volatility trend  Equity Bearish (1.1)
Risk Appetite  Risk Off (-15)
Fed Balance Sheet  4.477 T (Wed. May. 4, 2016) No Change
Fed Fund Rate  0.37% (Mon. May. 9, 2016) No Change
Yield Curve  Worsening (-4)
Credit Spread  Worsening (-7)
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. DIA price fluctuates within 0.84% (three month std-dev: 0.74%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. DIA price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160609

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1May_9_2016-2.1%-13.6% 0.1%,0.1(-0)-0.9%,-1.1(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.20.30%-0.4%-1.1001.1NAN%01.92   166.96(-0.2%)166.62-167.69Correction 165.64(-0.79%)165.42-166.5434
2May_6_2016-1.9%-13.9% 0.1%,0.1(0)-0.8%,-0.9(-0.1)-0%,-0-0.30%-0.2%-0.7001.2NAN%02.94   167.3(0.51%)165.73-167.36Correction 166.03(-0.76%)165.81-166.9339
3May_5_2016-2.4%-13.3% 0.1%,0.1(-0)-0.8%,-0.8(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.2-1.20%-0.1%-1.2001.3NAN%01.78   166.45(0.07%)166.03-167.19Correction 165.09(-0.82%)164.85-166.0542
4May_4_2016-2.4%-13.2% 0.1%,0.1(-0.1)-0.6%,-0.7(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.5-0.90%0.1%-1.2001.2NAN%03.45   166.34(-0.55%)165.94-167.18Correction 164.99(-0.81%)164.76-165.9440
5May_3_2016-1.9%-13.8% 0.2%,0.2(-0.1)-0.3%,-0.3(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.3-0.30%0.4%-0.7001.3NAN%04.64   167.26(-0.78%)166.49-167.76Correction 166.31(-0.57%)166.12-167.145
 
6May_2_2016-1.1%-14.7% 0.3%,0.3(-0.1)0%,0(-0.3)-0.1%,-0.1-1.20%0.6%0.2001.3NAN%02.46   168.58(0.63%)167.46-168.78Downtrend Reversal 168.07(-0.3%)167.92-168.6661
7Apr_29_2016-1.8%-14% 0.4%,0.4(-0.2)0.3%,0.3(-0.3)-0.3%,-0.3-1.50%0.7%-0.4001.2NAN%05.5   167.53(-0.34%)166.31-167.87Uptrend Consolidation 167.75(0.13%)167.78-167.6965
8Apr_28_2016-1.4%-14.4% 0.5%,0.5(-0.1)0.6%,0.6(-0.3)-0.2%,-0.2-00%0.8%-0.1001.2NAN%03.55   168.11(-1.14%)167.68-169.95Uptrend Consolidation 168.24(0.08%)168.19-168.3966
9Apr_27_2016-0.3%-15.7% 0.6%,0.6(-0)0.9%,0.9(-0.1)-0.1%,-00.30%0.9%1.1001.2NAN%03.57   170.04(0.34%)168.86-170.42Uptrend 170.4(0.21%)169.65-170.7380
10Apr_26_2016-0.6%-15.3% 0.7%,0.7(-0)1.1%,1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1-0.30%0.9%0.9001.2NAN%02.24   169.47(0.06%)168.97-170.05Uptrend 169.86(0.23%)169.17-170.1563
 
11Apr_25_2016-0.7%-15.3% 0.7%,0.7(0)1.2%,1.1(0)-0%,-0-0.90%0.8%0.9001.2NAN%02.49   169.37(-0.2%)168.23-169.42Uptrend 169.83(0.27%)169.06-170.1668
12Apr_22_2016-0.5%-15.5% 0.7%,0.7(0)1.2%,1.1(0.1)0.1%,0.1-0.30%0.8%1.2001.2NAN%02.41   169.71(0.11%)168.74-169.88Growing Uptrend 170.27(0.33%)169.31-170.561
13Apr_21_2016-0.6%-15.4% 0.7%,0.6(-0)1%,1(0.1)0.1%,0.10.60%0.7%1.2001.1NAN%02.76   169.53(-0.58%)169.26-170.64Uptrend 169.89(0.21%)169.09-170.2457
14Apr_20_20160%-16% 0.7%,0.7(-0)0.9%,0.9(0.1)0.2%,0.21.20%0.6%1.9001.2NAN%02.63   170.52(0.24%)169.81-171.15Overbought 169.21(-0.77%)167.84-171.2365
15Apr_19_20160%-15.8% 0.7%,0.8(-0)0.8%,0.9(0.2)0.4%,0.40.60%0.5%2.1001NAN%02.99   170.11(0.3%)169.42-170.53Breakout 170.37(0.15%)169.47-170.7563
 
16Apr_18_2016-0%-15.4% 0.8%,0.9(0)0.6%,0.7(0.2)0.5%,0.60.30%0.4%2.1000.9NAN%02.57   169.6(0.62%)168.02-169.65Breakout 169.77(0.1%)169.03-170.164
17Apr_15_2016-0.2%-14.7% 0.7%,1(-0.1)0.4%,0.6(0.1)0.4%,0.51.80%0.3%1.7000.8NAN%03.8   168.56(-0.16%)168.31-169Uptrend 168.66(0.06%)168.16-168.8765
18Apr_14_20160%-14.9% 0.8%,1.1(0)0.4%,0.5(0.2)0.4%,0.630%0.3%2.2000.7NAN%03.69   168.84(0.1%)168.5-169.21Breakout 168.89(0.03%)168.33-169.1466
19Apr_13_20160%-14.8% 0.7%,1(-0)0.2%,0.3(0.1)0.2%,0.31.80%0.4%2.3000.7NAN%05.4   168.67(1.03%)167.72-168.76Breakout 168.67(0%)168.13-168.9166
20Apr_12_2016-0.4%-13.6% 0.8%,1(-0)0.2%,0.2(0.1)0.1%,0.20.60%0.4%1.1000.7NAN%03.59   166.94(0.94%)165.31-167.12Uptrend 166.99(0.03%)166.66-167.1356
 
21Apr_11_2016-1.3%-12.6% 0.8%,0.9(-0.2)0.1%,0.1(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.200%0.5%-0000.8NAN%03.24   165.39(-0.13%)165.36-167.02Uptrend 165.49(0.06%)165.39-165.5348
22Apr_8_2016-1.2%-12.7% 0.9%,0.9(-0.1)0.2%,0.2(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.2-0.30%0.6%0.2000.9NAN%02.57   165.59(0.21%)165.08-166.68Uptrend 165.74(0.09%)165.51-165.8350
23Apr_7_2016-1.4%-12.4% 1%,0.8(-0.1)0.4%,0.3(-0.2)-0.2%,-0.1-0.60%0.7%0.1001.1NAN%05.25   165.24(-0.99%)164.67-166.13Uptrend 165.49(0.15%)165.19-165.6355
24Apr_6_2016-0.4%-13.6% 1.1%,0.8(-0)0.5%,0.4(-0.1)0%,0-0.60%0.8%1001.2NAN%04.09   166.89(0.69%)165.2-166.94Uptrend 167.14(0.15%)166.44-167.4570
25Apr_5_2016-1.1%-12.8% 1.1%,0.8(-0.1)0.7%,0.5(-0.2)-0%,-0-00%1%0.6001.3NAN%05.44   165.74(-0.73%)165.51-166.82Uptrend 166.15(0.25%)165.44-166.4770
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
Earning Calendar   About   Contact Us  
Copyright ©2016 SmartTrading. All rights reserved. Denver, Colorado, USA