Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 12, 2021

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $372.2700 (-1.55%) ($372.2700 - $372.2700) on Wed. May. 12, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $372.2700(-1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(60%)    SPY(60%)    IWF(59%)    DIA(57%)    QQQ(57%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-32%)    UUP(-17%)    TBT(-7%)    VXX(-5%)    IGOV(1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV -1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $374.18
5 Day Moving Average   $379.65(-1.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $377.28(-1.33%)
20 Day Moving Average   $374.18(-0.51%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $164.366b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.26%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.1%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -4.45%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2.27%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.92%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2021	356.21	374.18	377.28	379.65	379.21	375.29	372.27(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-206	-80	-260	-45	1.82	58%	0.03	80.6	1.2%	-1.2	-0.4	52	-3.7
2	May_11_2021	356.11	373.79	377.12	379.8	381.53	380.12	378.15(-0.99%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-63	-10	-91	21	1.86	59%	0.04	80.4	1.18%	-1.4	0.8	55	-0.5
3	May_10_2021	355.97	373.14	376.41	379.11	380.21	383.14	381.94(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	60	57	75	1.88	59%	0.04	79.6	1.18%	-0.2	1.6	62	1
4	May_7_2021	355.81	372.27	375.11	378.58	378.4	382.94	384.34(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	254	80	284	163	1.49	60%	0.04	82.1	1.17%	1.1	2.2	67	2
5	May_6_2021	355.66	371.19	373.91	376.35	377.14	377.28	381.53(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	184	10	205	119	2.2	60%	0.04	85.1	1.18%	1.6	2.1	62	0.8

6	May_5_2021	355.53	370.19	372.87	374.74	375.05	373.86	373.02(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-102	-20	-128	-22	1.25	58%	0	85.6	1.15%	-1.4	0.6	57	0.8
7	May_4_2021	355.52	369.53	372.94	374.01	374.84	377.01	374.71(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	71	50	72	67	1.56	58%	0	85.7	1.15%	-0.6	1	66	0.4
8	May_3_2021	355.51	368.83	372.58	373.17	373.5	376.24	379.31(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	201	50	224	131	1.84	60%	0.01	83.9	1.14%	1.7	2	69	1.1
9	Apr_30_2021	355.46	367.89	371.5	371.11	371.31	372.68	373.16(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	105	30	114	77	1.21	58%	0	93	1.11%	1	1.1	64	0.7
10	Apr_29_2021	355.46	367.02	371.24	371.13	370.27	370.77	373.52(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	0	36	56	1.84	55%	-0	91.7	1.12%	1.8	1.2	67	1.3

11	Apr_28_2021	355.47	366.06	370.77	370.81	370.36	369.94	369.34(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10	-14	43	0.98	54%	-0.03	94.3	1.14%	0.2	0.6	65	1.3
12	Apr_27_2021	355.57	365.14	370.24	371.73	370.99	369.77	370.54(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-41	-30	-67	36	1.46	50%	-0.01	92.9	1.14%	-0.1	0.8	70	1.3
13	Apr_26_2021	355.6	364.44	369.71	371.85	371.84	370.77	368.99(-1.15%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-47	-20	-76	39	1.6	50%	-0.01	108.6	1.17%	-1.5	0.7	66	1.2
14	Apr_23_2021	355.64	363.54	369.34	371.83	372.38	372.22	373.27(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	0	-5	75	1.4	50%	-0	115.9	1.16%	1.1	1.3	72	1.2
15	Apr_22_2021	355.65	362.25	368.36	371.33	371.48	372.92	371.89(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	23	93	1.52	50%	-0.03	122.9	1.17%	-1.3	1.2	78	0.8

16	Apr_21_2021	355.77	360.68	367.36	370.72	371.32	372.55	373.94(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	151	30	150	152	1.16	50%	-0.04	112.7	1.17%	1.1	1.5	83	1.7
17	Apr_20_2021	355.92	359.02	365.88	368.56	370.05	370.04	371.15(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	70	10	56	112	2.06	53%	-0.06	109.4	1.17%	0.2	1.3	84	1
18	Apr_19_2021	356.13	357.23	364.78	367.27	368	370.1	368.92(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	49	50	32	98	1.09	50%	-0.06	98.6	1.19%	-0.3	1.2	66	1.3
19	Apr_16_2021	356.34	355.27	363.97	366.45	366.95	370.06	370.77(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	208	60	217	179	1.71	50%	0.04	84.8	1.22%	1.1	1.4	74	1.8
20	Apr_15_2021	356.19	352.98	362.41	364.97	365.35	365.9	368.84(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	128	10	123	141	1.46	50%	-0.05	72.4	1.23%	0.5	1.3	75	1.8

21	Apr_14_2021	356.38	351.02	360.89	363.55	364.01	363.84	363.1(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	0	-29	91	1.09	48%	-0.06	69.3	1.22%	0.4	0.9	78	1.4
22	Apr_13_2021	356.61	349.25	359.62	362.75	363.7	364.81	364.72(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	82	30	64	136	1.43	48%	-0.05	68.2	1.23%	-2.4	1.1	78	1.7
23	Apr_12_2021	356.79	347.49	358.77	361.87	362.3	364.18	364.8(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	115	40	96	173	1.47	48%	-0.05	72.8	1.23%	1.9	1.3	81	1.8
24	Apr_9_2021	356.96	345.79	357.3	361.11	361.15	362.6	363.4(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	132	30	108	202	1.23	46%	-0.06	78.4	1.24%	1	1.3	83	1.5
25	Apr_8_2021	357.18	344.05	355.67	359.46	360.64	360.41	361.72(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	109	10	75	211	2.36	46%		80.6	1.24%	-0.2	1.3	84	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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