Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 13, 2020

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $380.7250 (1.18%) ($376.4800 - $382.2900) on Tue. Oct. 13, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   82
Latest Price   $380.7250(1.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(59%)    IWF(58%)    SPY(58%)    QQQ(57%)    SPLV(54%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-17%)    TBT(-8%)    VXX(-7%)    EDOC(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 1.2 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $370.93(2.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $364.53(4.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $354.67(7.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   17.9%
Market Cap   $168.099b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.58%(52%) Average negative next day return: -1.91%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.62%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -3.08%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.22%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.24%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2020	330.14	354.67	364.53	370.93	372.29	378.03	380.73(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	389	120	403	348	1.76	68%	0.15	63.3	1.1%	1.2	2.2	82	2.1
2	Oct_12_2020	329.63	352.73	361.59	366.47	367.93	372.27	376.28(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	371	90	389	318	2.8	67%	0.23	63.1	1.11%	1.5	2.2	81	2.7
3	Oct_9_2020	328.87	350.98	358.86	362.93	363.73	366.55	369.38(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	229	60	224	242	1.73	68%	0.21	59.3	1.09%	1.6	2	81	2.6
4	Oct_8_2020	328.19	349.41	356.17	360.06	361.07	363.58	365.26(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	193	60	187	210	1.77	67%	0.19	51.4	1.13%	1.4	1.9	82	1.7
5	Oct_7_2020	327.57	348.07	354.32	358.73	358.72	360.91	363(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	156	40	143	196	1.94	68%	0.18	41.2	1.13%	1.5	1.9	76	1

6	Oct_6_2020	326.98	347.16	352.47	357.13	357.55	358.55	358.43(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	139	20	125	180	2.76	68%	0.17	35.8	1.13%	0.1	1.6	64	0.3
7	Oct_5_2020	326.41	346.15	351.06	355.89	356.43	356.53	358.6(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	73	10	50	141	2.09	68%	0.19	26.3	1.15%	1.1	1.8	64	0.6
8	Oct_2_2020	325.8	345.47	349.17	354.09	354.82	356.56	355.03(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	84	40	69	130	2.12	68%	0.17	20	1.16%	-0.2	1.6	63	0.4
9	Oct_1_2020	325.24	345.07	347.33	351.53	353.03	356.32	358.6(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	246	80	266	186	2.05	68%	0.18	10.9	1.14%	1.1	2.4	71	0.8
10	Sep_30_2020	324.67	344.92	345.28	349.21	348.77	353.08	355(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	203	80	221	149	2.52	68%	0.16	10.8	1.14%	1	1.8	68	0.8

11	Sep_29_2020	324.15	344.65	344.05	347.15	346.32	349.74	352.21(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	248	60	279	153	2.52	68%	0.13	6.3	1.14%	1.4	1.4	55	0.9
12	Sep_28_2020	323.73	344.37	343.12	345.58	344.81	344.47	349.62(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	102	-10	109	79	3.45	68%	0.14	1.3	1.15%	1.6	1	61	0.7
13	Sep_25_2020	323.28	344.25	342.39	343.56	343.63	342.91	342.24(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-10	-74	-16	7.32	67%	0.12	-6.7	1.14%	-0.1	-0.4	45	0.6
14	Sep_24_2020	322.9	344.46	342.12	342.33	342.93	345.16	347(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	50	102	31	5.56	69%	0.12	-8.7	1.13%	0.9	0.5	47	0.3
15	Sep_23_2020	322.51	344.46	341.32	340.68	340.74	344.36	344.66(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	159	70	202	30	3.52	69%	0.11	-14.8	1.14%	0.7	0.1	36	0.1

16	Sep_22_2020	322.14	344.46	341.39	340.5	339.18	340.7	344.38(1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	110	20	147	-1	2.1	69%	0.13	-12.1	1.14%	1.8	0	44	0.7
17	Sep_21_2020	321.73	344.31	340.82	340.42	339.58	337.12	339.52(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-79	-60	-71	-104	2.42	68%	0.12	-8.7	1.13%	0.3	-0.9	44	0.8
18	Sep_18_2020	321.35	344.59	341.5	341.14	341.21	337.66	336.1(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-226	-70	-244	-171	3.4	68%	0.11	2.1	1.12%	-1	-1.7	41	1.1
19	Sep_17_2020	321.01	344.9	342.72	341.76	342.9	342.04	338.72(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-122	-10	-124	-117	2.68	68%	0.1	11	1.12%	-1.6	-1.3	45	1.1
20	Sep_16_2020	320.68	345.06	344.62	341.88	342.96	344.76	343.8(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	45	50	67	-21	1.66	71%	0.12	16.7	1.1%	0.1	-0.3	51	0.7

21	Sep_15_2020	320.28	344.93	345.33	342.38	342.07	343.75	343.98(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	89	30	115	11	1.36	71%	0.11	27.4	1.11%	0.3	-0.2	50	0.6
22	Sep_14_2020	319.92	344.76	345.72	341.33	342.34	341.16	343.12(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	33	-20	50	-19	1.52	71%	0.1	20.9	1.11%	0.4	-0.3	50	0.6
23	Sep_11_2020	319.59	344.47	346.24	342.05	341.65	340.39	339.18(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-178	-30	-201	-109	1.6	70%	0.11	19.5	1.11%	-1.3	-1	46	0.3
24	Sep_10_2020	319.25	344.37	347.05	343.89	343.53	343.51	339.33(-2.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-52	-0	-59	-29	1.96	70%	0.1	22.4	1.15%	-1.2	-0.9	51	-0.6
25	Sep_9_2020	318.94	344.31	347.66	347.78	346.06	342.91	346.3(2.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-86	-80	-111	-11	2.1	75%		39.4	1.12%	1.5	0.4	58	-0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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