Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 4, 2020

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $320.8300 (5.98%) ($320.8300 - $320.8300) on Wed. Mar. 4, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $320.8300(5.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(65%)    IWF(64%)    QQQ(63%)    SPY(63%)    XLP(61%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    VXX(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-6%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 2.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $297.39(-7.31%)
Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $301.35(6.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $307.42(4.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $311.34(3.05%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   14.1%
Market Cap   $141.654b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 3.32% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.27%(75%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.26%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.67%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 3.02%(75%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.84%(25%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200404

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_4_2020	302.03	311.34	307.42	301.35	303.44	311.78	320.83(5.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	211	210	275	20	4.2	55%	0.08	-15.7	1.91%	2.1	0.9	53	-1.6
2	Mar_3_2020	301.8	310.53	307.33	298.32	296.48	305.85	302.73(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	221	200	291	11	5.11	49%	0.02	-26.7	1.76%	0.5	-0.8	47	-2.3
3	Mar_2_2020	301.74	310.58	309.17	298.77	297.22	295.1	308.97(9.86%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	182	-70	243	-1	7.51	51%	0.04	-29.1	1.74%	1.2	-0.2	48	-1.9
4	Feb_28_2020	301.62	310.45	310.03	299.71	296.22	287.12	281.23(-4.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-681	-250	-762	-436	6.16	38%	-0.06	-28.6	1.19%	-1.3	-2.8	26	-2.8
5	Feb_27_2020	301.79	312.03	314	307.87	304.34	299.33	293(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-452	-150	-515	-262	3.62	43%	-0.01	-11.6	1.08%	-2	-2.4	36	-3.1

6	Feb_26_2020	301.83	312.98	316.46	314.08	311.59	305.32	305.66(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-319	-160	-380	-136	2.23	49%	0.05	11	0.95%	-1.3	-1.1	50	-2.4
7	Feb_25_2020	301.69	313.29	317.16	317.55	316.19	309.34	304.98(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-505	-160	-613	-179	2.87	49%	0.04	25.1	0.95%	-2	-1.3	55	-3.2
8	Feb_24_2020	301.57	313.58	318.21	320.94	320.7	317.85	313.7(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-281	-60	-371	-10	2.26	55%	0.08	45.4	0.88%	-1.7	0	69	-3.1
9	Feb_21_2020	301.34	313.44	318.31	321.86	322.75	323.04	322(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	54	10	9	187	2.19	61%	0.12	55.3	0.81%	-1.8	1.4	74	-0.8
10	Feb_20_2020	300.99	312.94	317.21	321.07	321.83	323.55	324.08(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	163	40	138	238	1.43	61%	0.13	65.1	0.8%	1	1.9	68	0.4

11	Feb_19_2020	300.59	312.27	315.68	319.27	320.32	322.47	323.01(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	242	60	238	254	1.41	61%	0.14	74.3	0.81%	0.8	2.1	67	1
12	Feb_18_2020	300.18	311.71	313.88	316.82	318.34	320.11	321.92(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	227	50	233	209	1.54	61%	0.16	83.7	0.82%	1.2	2.2	63	0.8
13	Feb_14_2020	299.69	310.82	311.89	315.17	315.54	318.18	318.29(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	148	60	150	143	1.11	59%	0.1	90.3	0.8%	0.9	1.8	62	0.9
14	Feb_13_2020	299.38	310.05	310.6	314.26	314.39	316.58	318.07(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	251	50	278	171	1.44	59%	0.1	89.5	0.81%	1.8	2	59	0.6
15	Feb_12_2020	299.07	309.19	309.65	312.79	313.31	312.91	315.08(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	89	-0	95	72	1.38	57%	0.09	87.2	0.8%	1.4	1.4	51	1

16	Feb_11_2020	298.79	308.44	309.02	311.54	312.22	312.21	310.73(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	10	-67	-15	2.05	54%	0.08	84.4	0.79%	-1.3	0.5	47	0.1
17	Feb_10_2020	298.56	307.92	308.99	310.37	311.74	313.71	313.69(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	167	60	199	70	2.27	57%	0.09	79.6	0.78%	0.6	1.2	49	0.2
18	Feb_7_2020	298.28	307.12	308.51	308.02	309.55	312.22	313.72(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	231	80	281	81	1.9	59%	0.09	66.9	0.79%	1.7	1.3	63	-0.1
19	Feb_6_2020	298.01	306.41	308.11	306.38	306.59	309.78	310.72(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	191	70	235	57	1.91	57%	0.06	65.9	0.79%	1.1	0.9	62	0.2
20	Feb_5_2020	297.82	305.64	308.26	306.13	305.3	306.87	308.84(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	175	30	210	69	1.72	57%	0.06	60.3	0.8%	1.7	0.6	63	0.1

21	Feb_4_2020	297.64	304.82	308.53	306.26	305.45	303.41	304.9(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-60	-50	-75	-16	1.97	54%	0.06	51.5	0.78%	0.1	0	61	-0.7
22	Feb_3_2020	297.47	304.23	309.37	307.45	306.6	303.73	301.91(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-274	-70	-340	-74	2.79	51%	0.03	50.9	0.78%	-2	-0.3	58	-1.4
23	Jan_31_2020	297.37	303.8	309.79	308.96	308.84	307.5	305.55(-1.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-125	-30	-177	33	1.82	55%	0.05	51.7	0.76%	-1.4	0.2	68	-2.4
24	Jan_30_2020	297.21	303.15	309.64	309.97	309.81	309.48	309.44(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-22	-10	-65	106	1.23	63%	0.07	51.4	0.75%	-0.6	0.8	69	-0.4
25	Jan_29_2020	297.01	302.37	308.87	310.68	310.11	310.18	309.51(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	10	-0	-35	143	1.7	63%		54.9	0.77%	-1	0.9	75	-0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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