Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 14, 2019

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $304.6700 (0.6%) ($304.6700 - $304.6700) on Thu. Nov. 14, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $304.6700(0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(64%)    IWF(64%)    QQQ(63%)    SPY(62%)    XLP(60%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-35%)    VXX(-13%)    TLT(-8%)    IGOV(-6%)    UUP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $302.28(0.79%)
10 Day Moving Average   $301.13(1.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $299.9(1.59%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $134.519b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 0.4%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 1.61%(78%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.29%(22%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20191214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2019	286.45	299.9	301.13	302.28	302.21	303.76	304.67(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1394	40	1627	693	1.33	62%	0.14	32.3	1.12%	0	1.7	63	1.5
2	Nov_13_2019	286.04	299.75	300.37	302.36	244.95	301.66	302.84(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1272	1050	1484	635	1.55	64%	0.13	45.3	1.18%	0	1.2	59	1.3
3	Nov_12_2019	285.67	299.54	300.05	302.1	188.31	300.66	300.48(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	5190	3050	6093	2481	1.49	62%	0.12	48.2	1.2%	0	0.4	56	1.5
4	Nov_11_2019	285.33	299.43	299.63	301.82	132.03	188.24	300.84(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	5191	1290	6096	2474	1.12	62%	0.12	57.1	1.2%	0	0.6	51	1.4
5	Nov_8_2019	284.98	299.27	299.43	301.02	75.52	75.96	302.55(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	-2210	22	34	1.5	62%	0.12	56	1.2%	0	1.3	51	1.2

6	Nov_7_2019	284.63	299.01	298.8	299.71	75.16	75.83	305.1(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	48	-2190	55	26	2.38	64%	0.15	53.7	1.19%	0	2.5	51	1.1
7	Nov_6_2019	284.21	298.58	297.93	298.13	74.59	75.08	301.51(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	23	-2200	33	-6	1.66	65%	0.14	61.8	1.2%	0	1.4	46	1
8	Nov_5_2019	283.82	298.34	297.47	297.8	74.32	74.49	299.1(0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-2240	18	-17	2.16	60%	0.13	72.2	1.22%	0	0.3	51	1
9	Nov_4_2019	283.44	298.02	297.52	297.18	74.37	74.11	296.85(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-2270	-3	-29	1.6	60%	0.13	75.3	1.27%	0	-0.5	48	1.3
10	Nov_1_2019	283.07	297.87	297.91	297.59	74.32	74.15	296.01(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-2270	-23	-29	1.32	60%	0.13	80.2	1.27%	0	-0.7	48	1.5

11	Oct_31_2019	282.7	297.7	298.57	297.65	74.5	74.63	297.19(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	3	-2240	7	-9	2.23	58%	0.14	77	1.27%	0	-0.2	51	1.2
12	Oct_30_2019	282.3	297.34	299.08	297.63	74.44	74.48	299.87(1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	-2250	11	0	1.23	58%	0.15	62.7	1.28%	0	0.6	57	1.4
13	Oct_29_2019	281.87	296.65	298.97	297.12	74.27	74.36	295.98(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-2240	-8	-9	1.23	57%	0.14	47.9	1.27%	0	-0.1	50	1.3
14	Oct_28_2019	281.47	296.11	299.26	297.92	74.35	74.4	298.92(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-2250	5	12	1.67	57%	0.15	47.2	1.26%	0	0.5	70	1.3
15	Oct_25_2019	281.04	295.6	299.14	298.35	74.42	74.17	296.31(-0.25%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-11	-2280	-19	13	1.65	57%	0.16	47.6	1.26%	0	0.1	61	1.7

16	Oct_24_2019	280.58	295.13	299.31	299.65	74.72	74.3	297.06(-0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-2290	-29	29	2.06	57%	0.17	52.8	1.26%	0	0.3	67	1.5
17	Oct_23_2019	280.09	294.71	299.36	300.74	75.08	74.66	297.33(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-8	-2290	-28	52	1.81	57%	0.19	57.9	1.26%	0	0.5	73	1.5
18	Oct_22_2019	279.57	294.29	299.37	301.04	75.4	75.13	299.97(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-2270	-11	81	1.96	57%	0.22	56.5	1.26%	0	1	84	1.5
19	Oct_21_2019	278.97	293.69	298.64	300.73	75.33	75.49	301.09(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-2230	1	97	1.33	57%	0.22	53.3	1.26%	0	1.3	89	1.8
20	Oct_18_2019	278.35	293	297.88	300.02	75.16	75.66	302.81(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	53	-2200	33	113	1.85	57%	0.22	50.8	1.26%	0	1.7	76	1.7

21	Oct_17_2019	277.73	292.16	296.76	298.95	74.83	75.16	302.5(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	54	-2220	33	115	1.74	57%	0.22	44.8	1.26%	0	2	78	1.8
22	Oct_16_2019	277.11	291.38	295.42	297.86	74.51	74.66	298.81(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-2240	11	100	1.81	57%	0.2	42	1.25%	0	1.6	68	1.9
23	Oct_15_2019	276.57	291.01	294.11	297.48	74.4	74.5	298.43(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	-2240	14	95	1.58	57%	0.08	45.7	1.25%	0	1.7	67	1.9
24	Oct_14_2019	276.35	290.61	292.7	296.2	74.31	74.37	297.55(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-2240	15	79	1.3	57%	0.18	34.3	1.25%	0	1.7	67	1.6
25	Oct_11_2019	275.84	290.14	291.74	295.35	73.97	74.31	297.44(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	-2220	15	73	1.85	60%		19.2	1.26%	0	1.9	67	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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