Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 16, 2019

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $245.3700 (-0.38%) ($244.2500 - $246.8200) on Tue. Apr. 16, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $245.3700(-0.38%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   COST advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(64%)    IWF(63%)    QQQ(62%)    SPY(62%)    XLP(60%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    VXX(-11%)    TLT(-8%)    IFRA(-8%)    IGOV(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $244.09(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $244.47(0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $242.27(1.28%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   18.1%
Market Cap   $108.336b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 1.32% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 1.61%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.69%(60%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 1.73%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.23%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 2.56%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.91%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190516

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_16_2019	220.63	242.27	244.47	244.09	243.59	245.06	245.37(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	40	99	68	0.85	56%	0.13	65.9	1.03%	0	1	62	2.1
2	Apr_15_2019	220.35	241.86	244.01	244.02	243.54	243.06	246.3(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-20	40	47	1.13	56%	0.13	69.9	1.03%	0	1.3	65	2.1
3	Apr_12_2019	220.07	241.38	243.76	244.06	243.69	242.13	241.96(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-101	-50	-133	-4	1.41	49%	0.1	75.2	1.01%	0	0.2	63	2.4
4	Apr_11_2019	219.84	241	243.83	244.82	244.78	244.03	241.23(-1.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-56	-20	-87	36	1.99	49%	0.11	82.9	1.02%	0	0.1	60	1.6
5	Apr_10_2019	219.6	240.66	243.88	245.46	245.53	245.26	245.61(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-10	10	91	0.98	59%	0.13	106.8	0.99%	0	1.3	63	1.3

6	Apr_9_2019	219.32	240.19	243.28	244.83	244.92	245.54	244.98(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	34	20	15	92	0.89	59%	0.08	121.1	0.99%	0	1.2	67	0.6
7	Apr_8_2019	219.14	239.6	242.71	243.93	244.23	245.8	246.5(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	114	50	110	125	0.81	59%	0.08	120.4	0.98%	0	1.6	71	1.2
8	Apr_5_2019	218.97	238.77	241.76	243.46	243.26	244.31	245.79(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	109	30	105	120	0.98	59%	0.08	124	0.97%	0	1.5	71	1.3
9	Apr_4_2019	218.8	237.88	240.93	242.76	242.78	242.67	244.41(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	-0	39	93	0.81	69%	0.06	96.9	0.98%	0	1.1	74	1.2
10	Apr_3_2019	218.67	236.57	240.41	242.11	242.44	242.21	242.48(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-0	-17	73	1	58%	0.04	82.9	1.03%	0	0.9	71	1

11	Apr_2_2019	218.58	235.46	239.87	241.49	242.06	242.9	240.46(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	30	35	85	1	58%	0.03	75.8	1.08%	0	0.7	59	1.2
12	Apr_1_2019	218.51	234.48	239.55	241.21	241.28	242.67	244.17(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	118	40	115	126	0.92	66%	0.04	71.5	1.05%	0	1.2	74	1.2
13	Mar_29_2019	218.43	233.21	238.76	239.77	240.06	241.23	242.29(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	110	40	106	120	0.89	66%	0.02	66.5	1.05%	0	1.1	77	1
14	Mar_28_2019	218.39	232.09	237.9	238.82	238.85	239.89	241.17(0.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	74	30	64	104	0.87	66%	0.01	64.9	1.06%	0	1.1	78	0.7
15	Mar_27_2019	218.37	230.98	237.17	238.5	238.34	238.89	239.35(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	81	10	62	139	0.75	66%	0.02	65.6	1.06%	0	1	85	0.2

16	Mar_26_2019	218.33	229.93	236.85	238.03	238.1	237.81	239.07(0.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	50	-10	15	153	0.75	75%	0.03	64.2	1.07%	0	1.1	79	0.4
17	Mar_25_2019	218.27	228.86	236.25	237.63	237.7	237.79	236.97(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	0	-27	147	0.66	75%	0.04	63	1.19%	0	0.9	76	-0.9
18	Mar_22_2019	218.18	227.87	235.57	237.56	237.77	238.4	237.54(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	94	20	58	200	0.99	66%	0.04	63.3	1.24%	0	1.1	78	-1
19	Mar_21_2019	218.09	226.81	234.65	236.77	236.89	237.62	239.59(1.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	90	20	50	209	0.83	66%	0.06	62.8	1.24%	0	1.5	79	1.4
20	Mar_20_2019	217.96	225.57	232.49	235.63	235.91	237.15	236.97(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	40	53	196	0.78	59%	0.05	63.8	1.25%	0	1.4	78	1.3

21	Mar_19_2019	217.85	224.55	230.78	235.51	235.37	236.16	237.07(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	108	20	75	206	1.01	59%	0.07	70.2	1.29%	0	1.6	79	1.7
22	Mar_18_2019	217.69	223.56	229.08	234.69	234.87	234.67	236.62(1.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	72	-0	33	188	1.05	59%	0.1	77.4	1.3%	0	1.7	79	1.8
23	Mar_15_2019	217.48	222.51	227.26	233.3	234.01	234.57	233.62(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	30	21	171	4.04	53%	0.04	84.3	1.32%	0	1.6	78	2.2
24	Mar_14_2019	217.39	221.5	225.84	232.14	232.59	235.08	233.85(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	152	80	132	211	1.84	39%	0.06	87.4	1.33%	0	1.9	79	2
25	Mar_13_2019	217.27	220.42	224.29	228.73	230.47	233.45	236.38(1.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	186	110	190	174	2.42	39%		79.9	1.74%	0	2.6	86	1.8
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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