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     Tue. Apr. 2, 2019



Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Costco Wholesale)

COST latest price $240.4600 (-1.52%) ($240.3100 - $244.1900) on Tue. Apr. 2, 2019.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Uptrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  COST advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  COST advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support COST advance at 0.5% a week (72% probability)
  XLP(74%)    IVW(71%)    IWF(71%)    VUG(71%)    XLK(71%)  
Factors Impacting COST price  COST will decline at least -0.6% in a week (35% probabilities).
  VXX(-49%)    TLT(-37%)    DIA(-28%)    UUP(-23%)    XHB(-19%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.5
 
Relative Volatility   0.4 (options are faily valued)
 
Hourly Trend   0.35% [$242.9(0.23), $242.06(0.78)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


COST Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  38%
Bullish Price Move  1.1%
Bearish Probability  63%
Bearish Price Move  -1.1%
Recommended Position Size  -23%
Latest Price  $240.4600
Next Hour Price  $240.46(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $243.66(1.33%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $252.42(4.97%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $239.51 - $245.43
Support Level  $235.46
5 Day Moving Average  $241.49(-0.43%)
10 Day Moving Average  $239.87(0.25%)
20 Day Moving Average  $235.46(2.12%)
To recent high  -1.5%
To recent low  20.3%
Market Cap  $106.169b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 


Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. COST price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 1.08%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. COST price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20190502

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Apr_2_2019-1.5%-20.3% 2.4%,0.8(-0)1.3%,0.4(-0)0.1%,00.30%1.9%0.700.4(3.18%,NAN%)1.21   240.46(-1.52%)240.31-244.19Uptrend 243.66(1.33%)239.51-245.4359
2Apr_1_20190%-22.2% 2.5%,0.7(0)1.4%,0.4(0)0.6%,0.20.60%2.2%1.200.8(3.44%,NAN%)1.20.92   244.17(0.78%)242.58-244.41Uptrend 248(1.57%)242.28-250.4774
3Mar_29_20190%-21.2% 2.3%,0.7(0)1.4%,0.4(-0)0.4%,0.10.30%2.4%1.100.9(3.52%,NAN%)10.89   242.29(0.46%)240.77-242.44Uptrend 245.95(1.51%)240.59-248.2577
4Mar_28_20190%-20.7% 2.3%,0.6(-0)1.4%,0.4(-0.2)0.1%,00.30%2.5%1.101(3.59%,NAN%)0.70.87   241.17(0.76%)239.58-241.95Uptrend Consolidation 239.19(-0.82%)237.27-244.9378
5Mar_27_2019-0.1%-19.7% 2.4%,0.7(0)2%,0.5(-0.2)0.2%,0.10.30%2.7%101.2(3.66%,NAN%)0.20.75   239.35(0.12%)238.16-240.21Uptrend Consolidation 237.96(-0.58%)235.85-244.3185
 
6Mar_26_2019-0.2%-20.7% 2.4%,0.6(0)2.6%,0.7(-0.1)0.2%,0-00%3%1.101.3(3.72%,NAN%)0.40.75   239.07(0.89%)237.36-240.25Uptrend Consolidation 237.47(-0.67%)235.06-244.7179
7Mar_25_2019-1.1%-19.6% 2.4%,0.6(-0)3.1%,0.8(-0.1)0%,000%3.2%0.901.5(3.76%,NAN%)-0.90.66   236.97(-0.24%)235.79-238.08Uptrend Consolidation 236.05(-0.39%)233.85-242.6176
8Mar_22_2019-0.9%-25.4% 2.4%,0.6(0)3.7%,1(-0.1)0.3%,0.10.30%3.4%1.101.7(3.81%,NAN%)-10.99   237.54(-0.86%)236.9-240.34Uptrend 243.57(2.54%)235.5-247.0478
9Mar_21_20190%-26.4% 2.4%,0.6(0)3.9%,1(0.1)0.5%,0.10.30%3.5%1.502(3.82%,NAN%)1.40.83   239.59(1.11%)236.55-239.85Uptrend 245.82(2.6%)236.84-249.6679
10Mar_20_2019-0%-25.1% 2.3%,0.6(-0)3.7%,1(-0)0.1%,00.30%3.1%1.402.1(3.67%,NAN%)1.30.78   236.97(-0.04%)235.78-238.49Uptrend 242.35(2.27%)234.58-245.6778
 
11Mar_19_20190%-25.1% 2.5%,0.7(-0)3.8%,1.1(0)0.4%,0.10.30%2.8%1.602.2(3.52%,NAN%)1.71.01   237.07(0.19%)236.29-238.05Uptrend 242.4(2.25%)234.36-245.8479
12Mar_18_20190%-24.9% 2.6%,0.8(-0)3.8%,1.1(0.1)0.6%,0.2-00%2.5%1.702.3(3.36%,NAN%)1.81.05   236.62(1.28%)233.49-236.68Uptrend 241.68(2.14%)234.04-244.9779
13Mar_15_2019-1.2%-23.3% 2.6%,0.8(0)3.6%,1.1(0)0.5%,0.20.30%2.1%1.602.3(3.13%,NAN%)2.24.04   233.62(-0.1%)233.18-235.68Uptrend 238.08(1.91%)231.42-240.9478
14Mar_14_2019-1.1%-23.4% 2.6%,0.9(0.1)3.5%,1.2(0.2)1.5%,0.51.20%2%1.902.5(3.01%,NAN%)21.84   233.85(-1.07%)233.28-236.4Growing Uptrend 239.28(2.32%)231.39-241.2479
15Mar_13_20190%-24.8% 2.3%,0.8(0.1)2.9%,1(0.3)1.5%,0.51.50%1.8%2.602.6(2.83%,NAN%)1.82.42   236.38(1.47%)232.95-237.45Breakout 238.65(0.96%)233.04-241.0686
 
16Mar_12_20190%-22.9% 1.9%,0.8(0.2)2.1%,0.9(0.3)1.2%,0.52.40%1.5%2.602.1(2.39%,NAN%)1.82.65   232.96(1.42%)229.9-233.4Breakout 234.26(0.56%)230.18-236.0277
17Mar_11_20190%-21.2% 1.5%,0.7(0.1)1.4%,0.7(0.3)1%,0.52.70%1.3%2.601.8(2.11%,NAN%)1.13.75   229.69(0.82%)227.06-229.91Breakout 230.31(0.27%)227.27-231.6371
18Mar_8_20190%-20.2% 1.2%,0.6(0.2)0.9%,0.5(0.2)0.8%,0.40.90%1.2%2.601.5(1.93%,NAN%)-0.96.78   227.82(5.09%)223.77-228.7Breakout 228.09(0.12%)225.62-229.1471
19Mar_7_2019-4.6%-14.4% 0.9%,0.5(-0)0.6%,0.4(-0.1)-0.2%,-0.1-0.30%1.1%0.301(1.68%,NAN%)-0.83.28   216.79(-1.11%)216.22-219.39Uptrend Consolidation 216.46(-0.15%)216.24-217.1561
20Mar_6_2019-5.7%-15.7% 1%,0.5(-0)0.8%,0.5(-0.1)0.1%,0.10.30%1.2%101.3(1.74%,NAN%)0.21.99   219.23(-0.27%)218.23-221.91Uptrend Consolidation 218.22(-0.46%)217.7-219.7472
 
21Mar_5_2019-5.5%-16% 1%,0.6(0)1%,0.6(-0.2)0.2%,0.10.30%1.3%1.201.4(1.74%,NAN%)0.92.16   219.82(0.65%)218.9-221.61Uptrend Consolidation 218.68(-0.52%)218.1-220.4676
22Mar_4_2019-6.1%-15.3% 0.9%,0.5(0)1.3%,0.7(-0.2)0.1%,0.10.30%1.4%101.5(1.72%,NAN%)1.22.44   218.41(-0.47%)215.87-221.08Uptrend Consolidation 217.45(-0.44%)216.91-219.0479
23Mar_1_2019-5.6%-15.8% 0.9%,0.5(-0)1.6%,0.9(-0)0.3%,0.20.60%1.5%1.401.7(1.73%,NAN%)1.82.18   219.44(0.32%)215.77-220.57Uptrend 220.05(0.28%)218.39-220.7784
24Feb_28_2019-5.9%-15.4% 0.9%,0.6(0.1)1.7%,1(0)0.3%,0.20.30%1.4%1.401.5(1.64%,NAN%)0.82.06   218.74(0.32%)217.52-219.69Uptrend 219.33(0.27%)217.76-219.9977
25Feb_27_2019-6.2%-15.1% 0.8%,0.5(0)1.6%,1(-0)0.1%,0.10.30%1.3%1.301.4(1.57%,NAN%)0.91.48   218.05(0.2%)216.45-218.86Uptrend 218.51(0.21%)217.19-219.0867
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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