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     Tue. Oct. 9, 2018



Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Sep. 18, 2020)

(Costco Wholesale)

COST latest price $223.0360 (0.11%) ($221.4342 - $224.0111) on Tue. Oct. 9, 2018.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Growing Downtrend
Intraday Reversal Probability  N/A.
Daily Trend  COST declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  COST declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support COST decline at-0.9% a week (69% probability)
  XLP(70%)    IVW(69%)    IWF(69%)    QQQ(68%)    VUG(68%)  
Factors Impacting COST price  COST will decline at least -0.2% in a week (32% probabilities).
  VXX(-48%)    TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-18%)    BWX(-15%)  
Explanation   The decline is sustainable and supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Not Available
 
Valuation to SPY   -1.6
 
Relative Volatility   0.7 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly Trend   -0.98% [$221.75(0.91), $223.94(-2.73)]
Last Hour Trend   0% [$0, $0]


COST Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  25%
Bullish Price Move  1.1%
Bearish Probability  75%
Bearish Price Move  -1.1%
Recommended Position Size  -45%
Latest Price  $223.0360
Next Hour Price  $223.04(0%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $221.23(-0.81%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $217.67(-2.41%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $219.51 - $224.53
Resistance Level  $231.57
5 Day Moving Average  $225.21(-0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average  $229.11(-2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average  $231.57(-3.69%)
To recent high  -8.2%
To recent low  6.5%
Market Cap  $98.476b
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 


Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.


$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 1.13%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. COST price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20181109

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVT(RV,IV)VIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Oct_9_2018-8.2%-6.5% -1.5%,-0.6(-0.2)-1.7%,-0.7(-0.2)-1.1%,-0.4-1.20%-1.1%-1.500.7(2.43%,NAN%)-1.32.5   223.04(0.11%)221.43-224.01Growing Downtrend 221.23(-0.81%)219.52-224.5335
2Oct_8_2018-8.3%-6.4% -1.1%,-0.4(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.5(-0.2)-0.9%,-0.4-30%-1.1%-1.700.7(2.4%,NAN%)-0.93.86   222.8(2.34%)218.15-223.36Growing Downtrend 221.55(-0.56%)220.13-224.5434
3Oct_5_2018-10.4%-4.9% -0.6%,-0.3(-0.3)-0.7%,-0.3(-0.3)-1.4%,-0.6-2.40%-1.1%-300.4(2.25%,NAN%)-0.27.38   217.71(-5.55%)216.69-225.91Growing Downtrend 217.25(-0.21%)215.99-220.5329
4Oct_4_2018-5.1%-11.1% -0.1%,-0(-0.1)0.1%,0(0.1)-0.2%,-0.1-0.60%-0.8%-1.10-1.2(1.61%,NAN%)0.12.86   230.51(-0.65%)229.49-232.82Rebound 232.84(1.01%)230.51-233.8540
5Oct_3_2018-4.5%-12.9% 0.1%,0.1(-0.1)-0.1%,-0.1(0.2)-0.1%,-000%-0.8%-0.80-1.4(1.55%,NAN%)1.32.32   232.02(-1.33%)231.55-236.11Range Bound 232.51(0.21%)233.1-232.0231
 
6Oct_2_2018-3.2%-14.4% 0.3%,0.2(-0)-0.4%,-0.3(0.4)0.3%,0.20.60%-0.9%00-1.6(1.53%,NAN%)1.11.65   235.15(0.72%)232.69-236.37N/A 235.03(-0.05%)234.88-235.1532
7Oct_1_2018-3.9%-13.6% 0.3%,0.2(-0)-1%,-0.6(0.3)0.1%,0.10.30%-0.9%-0.40-1.6(1.57%,NAN%)1.21.67   233.46(-0.1%)233.24-235.33Downtrend 232.9(-0.24%)232.54-233.7325
8Sep_28_2018-3.8%-13.7% 0.3%,0.2(-0)-1.5%,-0.9(0.2)0%,000%-1%-0.40-1.5(1.59%,NAN%)1.31.6   233.69(0.38%)232.61-234.28Downtrend 232.73(-0.41%)232.2-233.9729
9Sep_27_2018-4.2%-13.3% 0.3%,0.2(-0)-1.7%,-1(-0.1)0%,000%-0.9%-0.50-1.4(1.67%,NAN%)1.31.42   232.82(0.08%)231.16-234.48Correction 228.12(-2.02%)227.38-231.0733
10Sep_26_2018-4.3%-13.2% 0.4%,0.2(-0)-1.6%,-0.9(-0.1)0%,0-0.30%-0.6%-0.50-1.2(1.76%,NAN%)1.32.01   232.63(0.38%)232.27-234.47Correction 228.02(-1.98%)227.29-230.9946
 
11Sep_25_2018-4.6%-12.7% 0.4%,0.2(-0)-1.4%,-0.7(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.1-0.30%-0.2%-0.60-1(1.85%,NAN%)1.41.89   231.75(-0.18%)231.55-233.47Correction 227.32(-1.91%)226.6-230.2547
12Sep_24_2018-4.5%-12.9% 0.5%,0.3(-0)-1%,-0.5(-0.2)0.1%,0.100%0.3%-0.50-0.7(1.92%,NAN%)1.71.53   232.16(-0.6%)231.72-233.66Correction 228.77(-1.46%)228.14-231.2750
13Sep_21_2018-3.9%-13.6% 0.6%,0.3(-0.1)-0.7%,-0.4(-0.2)-0.1%,-00.30%0.8%-0.20-0.3(1.96%,NAN%)2.33.72   233.57(0.36%)232.83-234.65Correction 230.91(-1.14%)230.36-233.1155
14Sep_20_2018-4.2%-13.2% 0.7%,0.3(-0.2)-0.3%,-0.1(-0.3)-0.6%,-0.30.30%1.2%-0.300(2.06%,NAN%)2.61.91   232.74(0.03%)231.14-233.81Correction 230.39(-1.01%)229.87-232.559
15Sep_19_2018-4.2%-13.2% 1.1%,0.5(-0.2)0.3%,0.2(-0.3)-0.7%,-0.3-0.30%1.4%-0.200.2(2.14%,NAN%)2.61.58   232.67(-0.21%)231.25-233.55Uptrend Consolidation 233.02(0.15%)232.92-233.3361
 
16Sep_18_2018-4%-13.9% 1.4%,0.6(-0.2)1%,0.4(-0.3)-0.8%,-0.4-1.80%1.6%-0.100.4(2.23%,NAN%)1.62   233.16(1.01%)230.53-234.28Uptrend Consolidation 233.56(0.17%)233.16-234.7262
17Sep_17_2018-5%-12.8% 1.8%,0.8(-0.2)1.7%,0.7(-0.3)-0.9%,-0.4-2.10%1.8%-0.400.7(2.35%,NAN%)1.12.88   230.83(-1.44%)230.34-233.4Uptrend Consolidation 231.87(0.45%)231.37-233.3659
18Sep_14_2018-3.6%-15% 2.2%,0.9(-0.1)2.4%,1(-0.2)-0.5%,-0.2-1.20%2.1%0.201.1(2.49%,NAN%)1.93.88   234.19(-2.44%)233.28-237.79Uptrend Consolidation 234.78(0.25%)233.61-238.2862
19Sep_13_2018-1.2%-18.5% 2.5%,0.9(0.1)2.8%,1(0)0.4%,0.1-00%2.2%1.201.5(2.7%,NAN%)1.62.08   240.05(-0.48%)239.83-242.76Uptrend 246.41(2.65%)238.59-249.7781
20Sep_12_2018-0.7%-19.1% 2.4%,0.8(0.1)2.7%,1(0.1)0.6%,0.20.60%2.1%1.501.7(2.81%,NAN%)11.91   241.21(-0.72%)241-243.88Uptrend 247.53(2.62%)239.35-251.0485
 
21Sep_11_2018-0%-19.9% 2.2%,0.8(0.1)2.5%,0.9(0.1)0.8%,0.31.20%2%201.9(2.8%,NAN%)0.92.19   242.97(0.42%)241.94-243.92Overbought 240.66(-0.95%)232.76-252.592
22Sep_10_20180%-19.4% 1.9%,0.7(0.1)2.2%,0.8(0.1)0.9%,0.31.50%2%2.102(2.72%,NAN%)0.22.82   241.95(0.71%)240.89-242.57Overbought 238.93(-1.25%)231.44-250.1692
23Sep_7_20180%-19.5% 1.7%,0.7(0.1)2%,0.8(0.1)0.9%,0.40.90%1.9%2.102.1(2.54%,NAN%)-0.72.72   240.24(2.02%)236-241.72Overbought 237.19(-1.27%)230.47-247.2693
24Sep_6_2018-0%-20% 1.4%,0.6(0)1.8%,0.7(0)0.6%,0.20.60%1.9%1.602.1(2.42%,NAN%)-0.41.85   235.48(0.45%)233.87-235.57Uptrend 238.75(1.39%)233.77-240.8992
25Sep_5_20180%-19.5% 1.4%,0.6(0)1.8%,0.8(-0)0.5%,0.20.90%1.8%1.702(2.26%,NAN%)0.32.13   234.42(0.4%)232.02-234.98Uptrend 237.42(1.28%)232.7-239.4593
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVRVRVTVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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