Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 5, 2018

Trading Signals: COST Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Costco Wholesale)
COST latest price $234.4181 (0.4%) ($232.0203 - $234.9753) on Wed. Sep. 5, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.75% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $234.4181(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   COST advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   COST advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support COST advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(63%)    IWF(63%)    QQQ(62%)    SPY(62%)    XLP(60%)
Factors Impacting COST price   COST will decline at least -0.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-11%)    UUP(-11%)    VIXM(-8%)    TLT(-8%)    DIA(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.375% (StdDev 0.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $231.6(1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $230.09(1.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $226(3.72%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   19.5%
Market Cap   $103.501b

Costco Wholesale Corp. engages in the operation of membership warehouses. Its product categories include food and sundries, hardlines, fresh foods, softlines, and ancillary. It operates through the following segments: Unites States Operations, Canadian Operations, and Other International Operations. The company was founded by James D. Sinegal and Jeffrey H. Brotman in 1983 and is headquartered in Issaquah, WA.

$. COST price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 0.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.73%(58%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(42%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.2%(54%) Average negative next three day return: -1.67%(46%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.2%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.28%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181005

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_5_2018	208.25	226	230.09	231.6	231.54	233.24	234.42(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	175	50	164	206	2.13	76%	0.2	60.6	0.75%	0	1.7	93	0.3
2	Sep_4_2018	207.83	225.36	229.31	230.42	230.36	231.69	233.49(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	180	40	171	207	1.86	76%	0.3	63.8	0.76%	0	1.7	90	0.5
3	Aug_31_2018	207.21	224.71	228.51	229.38	229.4	229.85	231.95(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	100	10	74	176	1.88	76%	0.22	66.7	0.76%	0	1.7	91	0.1
4	Aug_30_2018	206.75	224.11	227.71	228.9	229.05	229.02	229.66(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	0	9	162	1.27	77%	0.23	70.8	0.76%	0	1.3	85	0.8
5	Aug_29_2018	206.28	223.59	226.93	228.52	229.03	228.96	228.46(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	47	0	6	169	1.79	77%	0.23	66	0.78%	0	1.1	86	1.3

6	Aug_28_2018	205.81	222.95	226.13	228.33	228.7	229.09	228.53(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	55	20	19	163	1.88	77%	0.23	61.8	0.79%	0	1.3	60	1
7	Aug_27_2018	205.34	222.37	225.34	227.99	228.29	229.1	228.3(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	100	30	74	177	1.9	77%	0.22	62	0.79%	0	1.4	61	0.9
8	Aug_24_2018	204.88	221.82	224.33	227.45	227.8	228.32	229.54(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	119	20	101	171	1.45	77%	0.23	62	0.79%	0	1.9	66	1
9	Aug_23_2018	204.42	221.22	223.23	226.34	226.85	227.49	227.78(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	92	30	77	138	1.34	77%	0.22	62.5	0.79%	0	1.8	65	1
10	Aug_22_2018	203.97	220.8	222.12	225.09	225.52	227.29	227.49(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	138	60	140	132	1.27	77%	0.23	64.4	0.79%	0	2.1	66	1.2

11	Aug_21_2018	203.5	220.34	221.58	223.59	224.08	226.21	226.82(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	225	70	244	169	2.07	77%	0.23	66.2	0.8%	0	2.2	72	0.7
12	Aug_20_2018	203.04	219.83	221.05	222.29	222.06	223.75	225.64(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	174	50	186	139	1.78	77%	0.12	68.1	0.79%	0	2.3	66	1.1
13	Aug_17_2018	202.8	219.38	220.53	220.75	220.63	221.95	223.98(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	137	40	147	106	1.98	77%	0.19	68.3	0.79%	0	2.1	63	0.9
14	Aug_16_2018	202.42	219.02	220.13	219.68	219.71	220.37	221.51(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	106	20	115	80	1.66	77%	0.2	63.8	0.79%	0	1.2	58	0.2
15	Aug_15_2018	202.02	218.74	219.91	218.7	218.77	219.3	220(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	20	19	22	1.84	77%	0.2	52.9	0.81%	0	0.6	50	-1.4

16	Aug_14_2018	201.62	218.43	219.5	219.28	218.51	219.05	220.33(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	10	22	24	1.45	77%	0.18	63.7	0.81%	0	0.8	53	0.4
17	Aug_13_2018	201.26	218.1	219.19	219.65	219.14	218.24	217.91(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-15	-40	-24	13	1.52	76%	0.2	70.2	0.8%	0	-0.1	54	-1
18	Aug_10_2018	200.86	217.89	219.18	220.27	220.03	217.98	218.65(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-126	-70	-159	-27	2.83	76%	0.19	82.3	0.79%	0	0.3	54	0.6
19	Aug_9_2018	200.48	217.71	219.13	220.61	220.68	220.04	216.6(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-119	-20	-154	-15	3.64	74%	0.16	91.7	0.79%	0	-0.4	51	1.8
20	Aug_8_2018	200.15	217.54	219.5	221.19	221.15	222.08	222.89(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	133	30	132	134	2.02	89%	0.2	91.6	0.7%	0	1.6	71	2.3

21	Aug_7_2018	199.76	216.87	219.07	219.71	219.78	221.32	222.18(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	151	50	157	134	1.43	89%	0.2	84.1	0.7%	0	1.6	74	2.3
22	Aug_6_2018	199.36	216.27	218.53	218.68	218.27	220.22	221.04(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	165	60	176	131	1.29	89%	0.19	80	0.72%	0	1.4	73	1.9
23	Aug_3_2018	198.98	215.69	218.13	217.97	217.55	218.25	220.36(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	154	20	163	125	1.2	89%	0.19	74.9	0.73%	0	1.3	72	1.1
24	Aug_2_2018	198.6	215.09	217.78	217.5	216.94	216.32	219.46(1.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-41	-30	-65	32	1.9	89%	0.19	69.7	0.73%	0	1.2	63	0.8
25	Aug_1_2018	198.23	214.5	217.42	217.61	217.6	216.85	215.5(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-70	-20	-104	33	1.84	87%		71.5	0.73%	0	0.3	62	0.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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