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     Fri. Mar. 18, 2016

Trading Signals: COP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(ConocoPhillips)

COP latest price $40.4279 (0.02%) ($39.8950 - $41.7201) on Fri. Mar. 18, 2016.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  3.96% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $40.4279(0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  COP advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  COP advances 5.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support COP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XLE(84%)    OIH(80%)    XOP(79%)    IWD(63%)    IVE(62%)  
Factors Impacting COP price  COP will decline at least -1.98% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-13%)    BNDX(-5%)    IPO(-3%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -1.98% (StdDev 3.96%)
Hourly BBV   0 ()
Intraday Trend   -1.3%
  
 

  


5 Day Moving Average  $39.04(3.56%)
10 Day Moving Average  $38.25(5.69%)
20 Day Moving Average  $35.82(12.86%)
To recent high  -11.6%
To recent low  34.9%
Market Cap  $43.362b
 
 
 
ConocoPhillips engages in the exploration, production, transportation and marketing of crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, natural gas liquids and liquefied natural gas on a worldwide basis. It operates through the following geographical segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe and North Africa; Asia Pacific and Middle East; Other International; and Corporate & Other. The Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids. The Lower 48 segment is consist of operations in the U.S. Lower 48 states and the Gulf od Mexico. The Canada segment is comprised of oil sands development in the Athabasca Region of northeastern Alberta and a liquids-rich unconventional play in western Canada. The Europe and North Africa segment is consist of operations and exploration activities in Norway, the United Kingdom and Libya. The Asia Pacific and Middle East segment has explorations and product operations in China, Indonesia, Malaysia and Australia; production operations in Qatar and Timor-Leste; and exploration activities in Brunei. The Other International segment handles exploration activities in Columbia and Chile. The Corporate and Other segment is comprised of interest expense, premiums incurred on the early retirement of debt, corporate overhead, certain technology activities, as well as licensing revenues received. The company was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.

$. COP price fluctuates within 9.27% (three month std-dev: 3.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13   Average positive next day return: 3.67%(54%)   Average negative next day return: -3.55%(46%)
Sample size 13   Average positive next three day return: 4.54%(62%)   Average negative next three day return: -3.8%(38%)
Sample size 13   Average positive next weekly return: 3.17%(23%)   Average negative next weekly return: -5.48%(77%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20160418

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
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ema5
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ema10
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Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
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BBV
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1Mar_18_201640.9535.8238.2539.04 39.16 40.5140.43(0.02%)UTHoldLong650.4   45   250   26   100   20.95    44%-0.2463.33.96%01.480INF
2Mar_17_201641.0535.3438.0438.57 38.35 39.4340.42(2.72%)UTHoldLong650.6   57   180   35   121   12.43    43%-0.22633.98%01.678INF
3Mar_16_201641.1434.8937.6137.83 37.72 37.8239.35(5.12%)UTHoldLong650.5   44   10   18   120   10.15    42%-0.2262.34%01.579INF
4Mar_15_201641.2334.5137.1237.3 37.2 37.2737.43(-0.45%)UDOpenLong650   29   10   -1   118   7.84    40%-0.3160.63.95%0177INF
5Mar_14_201641.3634.1736.6537.07 37.2 37.6237.6(-1.26%)UDOpenLong750.2   33   100   3   124   9.32    42%-0.3457.13.96%01.278INF
 
6Mar_11_201641.533.8336.1137.33 37.13 37.1338.08(3.82%)UTOpenLong750.3   35   -20   2   133   13.66    42%-0.3161.83.98%01.570INF
7Mar_10_201641.6333.4235.5237.44 37.44 36.6436.68(-0.05%)UDOpenLong65-0.3   31   -150   -7   145   10.86    42%-0.3160.33.95%01.272INF
8Mar_9_201641.7633.0934.9937.35 37.74 37.1336.7(1.11%)UDOpenLong65-0.2   33   -80   -5   146   13.35    42%-0.3350.53.96%01.367INF
9Mar_8_201641.932.8134.4336.87 37.37 38.2536.29(-6.71%)UDOpenLong75-0.2   49   210   18   143   14.13    42%-0.3642.63.95%01.365INF
10Mar_7_201642.0532.5833.936.09 36.3 38.3638.91(0.68%)UTHoldLong651.1   81   410   59   145   17.55    42%-0.3128.83.87%02.578INF
 
11Mar_4_201642.1832.1433.234.67 34.58 36.538.64(6.64%)UTHoldLong651.9   74   380   60   114   24.82    42%-0.312.83.9%03.276INF
12Mar_3_201642.3131.8232.3833.35 33.17 34.2536.24(5.67%)UTOpenLong752   53   210   44   80   20.25    40%-0.35-29.43.8%03.175INF
13Mar_2_201642.4631.7631.8832.32 32.37 32.6634.29(5.89%)UTOpenLong751.4   31   70   24   51   16.94    36%-0.4-43.73.72%01.870INF
14Mar_1_201642.6331.7231.6131.66 31.79 32.6632.38(1.86%)UTOpenLong750.5   14   80   8   30   11.58    34%-0.47-53.93.65%00.555INF
15Feb_29_201642.8331.8831.4531.37 31.4 32.0931.79(-0.85%)UDOpenLong750.3   9   160   7   15   10.52    34%-0.46-39.43.62%0-0.148INF
 
16Feb_26_201643.0332.0931.3631.48 31.27 31.4932.06(3.21%)UTOpenLong750.3   17   30   15   23   11    34%-0.49-29.63.62%0-057INF
17Feb_25_201643.2432.2431.1631.25 31.27 30.731.07(0.3%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -7   -120   -7   -6   10.32    34%-0.46-28.93.62%0-0.643INF
18Feb_24_201643.4432.3731.0831.37 31.25 31.0430.97(0.12%)DPOpenShort-75-0.2   -22   -60   -17   -35   10.97    35%-0.48-24.83.62%0-0.734INF
19Feb_23_201643.6532.4831.1131.55 31.61 31.830.94(-4.44%)DTHoldShort-50-0.3   -5   50   5   -34   9.72    35%-0.43-25.23.66%0-0.841INF
20Feb_22_201643.8432.5431.2231.52 31.63 31.4532.37(4.81%)DPOpenShort-650.4   -8   -30   7   -53   11.54    36%-0.34-36.63.63%0-0.140INF
 
21Feb_19_201643.9932.6731.0431.23 31.4 31.4330.89(-2.46%)DTOpenShort-75-0.2   -24   20   -1   -92   14.64    34%-0.32-46.23.57%0-0.934INF
22Feb_18_201644.1332.8431.2331.04 31.35 31.8131.67(-0.62%)DPOpenShort-650.3   -14   130   16   -103   16.9    34%-0.29-53.53.56%0-0.639INF
23Feb_17_201644.2632.8931.6130.74 30.78 31.3831.87(3.51%)DPOpenShort-650.6   -18   140   11   -104   18.32    34%-0.25-68.93.57%0-0.546INF
24Feb_16_201644.373331.8130.63 30.57 30.8930.79(-0.43%)DPOpenShort-650.1   -23   70   5   -107   12.85    37%-0.25-803.53%0-1.146INF
25Feb_12_201644.4833.2932.330.89 30.58 30.1930.92(3.2%)DPOpenShort-750   -22   -120   -1   -85   14.97    36%-81.93.57%0-1.150INF
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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