Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 3, 2019

Trading Signals: CAT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Caterpillar)
CAT latest price $140.0600 (-2.03%) ($138.5600 - $140.4300) on Tue. Dec. 3, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $140.0600(-2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CAT declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CAT declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CAT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PAVE(74%)    IFRA(71%)    IWD(70%)    SDY(70%)    IVE(69%)
Factors Impacting CAT price   CAT will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    TLT(-29%)    VXX(-19%)    UUP(-14%)    BNDX(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $144.73
5 Day Moving Average   $143.91(-2.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143.78(-2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $144.73(-3.23%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $75.843b

Caterpillar, Inc. engages in the manufacture of construction and mining equipment, diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines, and diesel-electric locomotives. It operates through the following segments: Construction Industries, Resource Industries, Energy and Transportation, Financial Products, and All Other. The Construction Industries segment supports customers using machinery in infrastructure and building construction applications. The Resource Industries segment is responsible for supporting customers using machinery in mining and quarrying applications and it includes business strategy, product design, product management and development, manufacturing, marketing and sales and product support. The Energy and Transportation segment supports customers in oil and gas, power generation, marine, rail, and industrial applications. The Financial Products segment offers a range of financing alternatives to customers and dealers for Caterpillar machinery and engines, solar gas turbines, as well as other equipment and marine vessels. The All Other segments include activities such as; the business strategy, product management and development, and manufacturing of filters and fluids, undercarriage, tires and rims, engaging tools, and fluid transfers. The company was founded on April 15, 1925 and is headquartered in Deerfield, IL.

$. CAT price fluctuates within 1.4% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.36%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.35%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.67%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.02%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_3_2019	130.71	144.73	143.78	143.91	143.4	142.02	140.06(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-96	-80	-110	-53	3.94	70%	0	16.4	1.67%	0	-2.3	35	-0.5
2	Dec_2_2019	130.71	145.09	144.18	145.18	145	144.4	142.96(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-16	-30	-18	-8	2.89	73%	0.04	57	1.66%	0	-1.2	36	0.6
3	Nov_29_2019	130.66	145.18	144.42	145.36	145.28	144.79	144.73(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-30	-19	-13	1.62	75%	0.07	75.2	1.65%	0	-0.3	39	1.5
4	Nov_27_2019	130.57	144.88	144.3	145.09	145.1	145.6	145.69(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	8	20	14	-11	2.65	75%	0.08	56.4	1.66%	0	0.3	45	1.9
5	Nov_26_2019	130.46	144.63	144.16	144.25	144.45	145.77	146.09(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	43	70	60	-7	2.46	75%	0.09	55.1	1.66%	0	0.6	51	2

6	Nov_25_2019	130.34	144.4	144.14	143.67	143.34	144.6	146.42(1.77%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	38	50	56	-18	3.07	75%	0.08	59.6	1.66%	0	0.7	49	2.1
7	Nov_22_2019	130.23	144.09	144.23	143.11	142.94	143.14	143.88(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	10	29	-34	2.26	69%	0.1	65.1	1.71%	0	-0.1	41	1.6
8	Nov_21_2019	130.1	143.91	144.62	143.39	142.96	142.07	143.36(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-50	-32	-47	3.3	69%	0.06	66.5	1.71%	0	-0.2	48	1.3
9	Nov_20_2019	130.02	143.49	144.98	143.41	143.62	142.75	141.52(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-40	-47	-34	3.44	69%	0.05	63	1.71%	0	-0.5	62	1.3
10	Nov_19_2019	129.96	143.23	145.42	144	144.21	143.85	143.18(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-23	-10	-28	-7	2.07	69%	0.05	66.1	1.7%	0	-0	58	1.5

11	Nov_18_2019	129.9	142.81	145.76	144.63	144.41	144.49	143.59(-1.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.2	-15	-0	-24	14	2.63	69%	0.06	66.3	1.7%	0	0.2	56	1.8
12	Nov_15_2019	129.82	142.29	146.11	145.52	145.24	144.56	145.31(1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-40	-9	49	2.81	69%	0.08	68.2	1.69%	0	0.6	62	2
13	Nov_14_2019	129.72	141.6	146.05	146.09	145.85	144.33	143.44(-0.73%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-39	-80	-67	46	2.58	65%	0.06	70.6	1.69%	0	0.3	60	1.5
14	Nov_13_2019	129.64	141.07	145.6	146.8	146.63	145.92	144.49(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-24	-40	-55	69	3.21	66%	0.08	77.5	1.74%	0	0.6	72	1.3
15	Nov_12_2019	129.53	140.38	145.25	147	147.33	147.37	146.34(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	33	10	7	110	2.83	63%	0.09	85	1.74%	0	0.9	71	1.5

16	Nov_11_2019	129.41	139.63	144.77	147.01	146.96	147.35	148(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	20	7	130	2.2	63%	0.11	92.4	1.76%	0	1.3	76	1.4
17	Nov_8_2019	129.27	138.65	143.98	146.79	146.77	147.29	148.16(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	20	31	155	2.77	61%	0.12	98.3	1.79%	0	1.4	78	1.2
18	Nov_7_2019	129.12	137.66	143.12	146.06	146.48	146.57	147.01(1.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	79	10	46	176	3.6	61%	0.13	97	1.79%	0	1.4	79	1.1
19	Nov_6_2019	128.95	136.46	141.85	144.21	145.11	146.25	145.49(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	66	70	36	155	3.72	61%	0.12	85.8	1.79%	0	1.2	74	1
20	Nov_5_2019	128.8	135.19	140.85	143.18	143.23	146.38	146.37(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	121	150	101	182	4.51	59%	0.15	77.2	1.79%	0	1.4	77	1

21	Nov_4_2019	128.61	133.8	139.58	142.18	141.67	143.98	146.92(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	155	100	142	192	5.36	59%	0.16	71.5	1.82%	0	1.7	76	1.3
22	Nov_1_2019	128.41	132.45	138.09	140.8	140.22	140.08	144.49(4.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	-20	34	142	6.11	54%	0.13	65.9	1.83%	0	1.6	77	1.5
23	Oct_31_2019	128.24	131.26	136.7	139.85	139.77	139.36	137.8(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-20	-18	119	4.02	50%	0.09	60.9	1.8%	0	0.9	71	1.2
24	Oct_30_2019	128.13	130.39	136.16	139.06	139.56	140.36	140.34(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	69	50	39	158	3.96	52%	0.1	53.5	1.78%	0	1.3	84	1.4
25	Oct_29_2019	128	129.37	135.15	138.06	137.98	140.19	141.33(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	106	110	79	188	4.42	52%		47.7	1.79%	0	1.7	88	1.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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