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     Thu. Mar. 26, 2020



Trading Signals: BWX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 8, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 30, 2020)

(SPDR Bloomberg Barclays International Treasury Bond ETF)

BWX latest price $27.6900 (3.36%) ($27.0400 - $27.7100) on Thu. Mar. 26, 2020.

Trend and Trading Plan

Trend Narrative  Rebound
Intraday Reversal Probability  There's a high probability the price will reverse sharply to downside intraday or next day..
Daily Trend  BWX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  BWX declines -4.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support BWX decline at-0.8% a week (65% probability)
  TLT(51%)    BNDX(47%)    HYXU(43%)    BND(40%)    GDX(39%)  
Factors Impacting BWX price  BWX will decline at least -0.4% in a week (45% probabilities).
  UUP(-66%)    TBT(-42%)    CNCR(-17%)    VIXM(-14%)    XLP(-11%)  
Explanation   The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.
Trading Plan  Buy the rebound
 
Valuation to SPY   1.2
 
Relative Volatility   1.7 (options are expensive)
 
Hourly BBV   3.6
Hourly Trend   0.67% [$27.16(0.31), $26.98(0.17)]
Last Hour Trend   0.15% [$27.58, $27.54]


BWX Next 1 - 5 Day Price Forecast

Bullish Probability  70%
Bullish Price Move  1.2%
Bearish Probability  30%
Bearish Price Move  -1.2%
Recommended Position Size  33%
Latest Price  $27.6900
Next Day Open Price  $27.77(0.3%)
1 - 3 Day Target Price  $27.68(-0.02%)
1 - 5 Day Possible Target  $24.73(-10.69%)
1 - 5 Day Price Range  $26.55 - $28.17
Resistance Level  $28.12
5 Day Moving Average  $26.95(2.75%)
10 Day Moving Average  $27.05(2.37%)
20 Day Moving Average  $28.12(-1.53%)
To recent high  -7.2%
To recent low  7.1%
Market Cap  $N/A
 
Option Sentiment  
 
 
 


  
 
 



$. Technical analysis works only if the market conditions in the future are not drastically different from the past. Always read market news to understand the causes of the price movement before making a trading decision. News

$. BWX price fluctuates within 4.34% (three month std-dev: 1.22%    one year average std_dev: 0%) daily (68% of days).
$. BWX price fluctuates within 0% weekly (one year average std_dev: %).

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200426

iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
CloseActualPriceRangeTrend-Narrative  NextDay
PriceTarget  
NextDayPriceRangeRSI
1Mar_26_2020-7.2%-7.1% -1.6%,-0.4(0)-4.2%,-1(0.2)0.9%,0.20.30.15%-3.8%-0.43.61.23.6NAN%-0.10.45   27.69(3.36%)27.04-27.71Rebound 27.68(-0.02%)26.55-28.1736
2Mar_25_2020-10.2%-3.6% -1.7%,-0.4(0)-4.9%,-1.1(0.1)0.7%,0.20-0.07%-3.7%-1.11.31.63.8NAN%-0.40.7   26.79(0.37%)26.76-27.32Downtrend 25.85(-3.5%)25.34-27.0532
3Mar_24_2020-10.6%-3.2% -1.9%,-0.5(-0)-5.2%,-1.3(-0.1)-0.5%,-0.10-0.11%-3.1%-1.30.41.73.6NAN%-0.80.61   26.69(-0.56%)26.52-26.95Downtrend 25.69(-3.75%)25.14-26.9733
4Mar_23_2020-10.1%-3.8% -1.8%,-0.5(-0.1)-5%,-1.3(-0.2)-1.2%,-0.30.30%-2.5%-1.4-0.23.33.4NAN%-0.60.75   26.84(0.41%)26.62-27.1Growing Downtrend 26(-3.12%)25.36-27.134
5Mar_20_2020-10.4%-3.4% -1.5%,-0.4(-0.1)-4.2%,-1.1(-0.2)-0.8%,-0.2-0.6-0.08%-1.8%-1.6-0.52.73.2NAN%-1.20.56   26.73(0.79%)26.5-26.96Growing Downtrend 26.07(-2.46%)25.54-27.0335
 
6Mar_19_2020-11.1%-2.6% -1.3%,-0.4(-0.1)-3.7%,-1.1(-0.3)-1.6%,-0.5-1.50%-1.2%-2.1-0.81.83NAN%-1.60.95   26.52(2.59%)26.38-26.9Growing Downtrend 25.99(-2.01%)25.52-26.8634
7Mar_18_2020-13.4%-0-0.9%,-0.3(-0.2)-2.7%,-0.9(-0.5)-2.6%,-0.9-1.8-0.61%-0.5%-3.2-2.31.42.8NAN%-2.30.64   25.85(-5.31%)25.73-27.26Growing Downtrend 25.47(-1.47%)25.07-26.331
8Mar_17_2020-8.5%-0-0.2%,-0.1(-0.2)-1.1%,-0.5(-0.5)-1.5%,-0.7-2.10%0.3%-2.5-2.21.52.4NAN%-2.20.85   27.3(-3.97%)27.13-27.88Downtrend 27.16(-0.52%)26.99-27.5641
9Mar_16_2020-4.7%-2.1% 0.2%,0.1(-0.2)-0.1%,-0.1(-0.4)-1%,-0.6-3-0.11%0.8%-0.9-1.62.92.5NAN%-2.81.25   28.43(2.08%)27.06-28.43Correction 28.09(-1.18%)28.03-28.3550
10Mar_13_2020-6.7%-00.4%,0.2(-0.2)0.6%,0.3(-0.5)-1.2%,-0.7-3-1.78%1%-2-2.60.92.7NAN%-1.91.16   27.85(-2.83%)27.72-29.5Uptrend Dip 28.04(0.69%)27.83-28.144
 
11Mar_12_2020-4%-1.2% 0.8%,0.5(-0.1)1.4%,0.9(-0.3)-0.5%,-0.3-2.10%1.3%-0.6-1.42.52.9NAN%-2.81.67   28.66(-2.98%)27.62-29.4Uptrend Dip 29.26(2.1%)28.75-29.3957
12Mar_11_2020-1%-4.3% 1%,0.6(0)1.9%,1.1(0)0.2%,0.1-0.9-0.07%1.3%1.31.61.54.3NAN%-2.21.49   29.54(0.34%)29.2-29.7Uptrend 30.06(1.75%)29.42-30.3378
13Mar_10_2020-1.3%-4% 0.9%,0.6(0)1.8%,1.2(-0)0.1%,0.10.6-0.27%1.2%1.2-1.70.74NAN%-1.90.76   29.44(-1.34%)29.32-29.81Uptrend 29.91(1.59%)29.34-30.1574
14Mar_9_20200%-5.4% 0.8%,0.5(0.1)1.8%,1.2(0.2)0.6%,0.41.8-0.23%1.1%2.31.71.64.3NAN%-2.60.67   29.84(0.57%)29.81-30.17Growing Uptrend 30.44(2.02%)29.65-30.6481
15Mar_6_20200%-4.8% 0.6%,0.5(0.1)1.6%,1.2(0.2)0.5%,0.41.50.03%0.9%2.530.43.7NAN%-2.20.58   29.67(0.82%)29.55-29.81Breakout 30.02(1.18%)29.49-30.2580
 
16Mar_5_20200%-3.9% 0.4%,0.4(0.2)1.3%,1.2(0.3)0.6%,0.50.90%0.7%2.4-0.20.13.2NAN%-20.58   29.43(0.79%)29.3-29.43Breakout 29.68(0.85%)29.29-29.8577
17Mar_4_2020-0.2%-3.1% 0.2%,0.3(0.2)1%,1.1(0.3)0.5%,0.51.50%0.4%2.30.3-0.42.6NAN%-1.60.45   29.2(-0.17%)29.15-29.25Breakout 29.34(0.48%)29.1-29.4471
18Mar_3_20200%-3.3% 0.1%,0.2(0.2)0.7%,0.9(0.3)0.4%,0.62.4-0.03%0.2%30.70.12.4NAN%-2.40.67   29.25(0.86%)28.98-29.46Breakout 29.33(0.26%)29.13-29.4172
19Mar_2_20200%-2.4% -0%,-0(0.1)0.4%,0.8(0.3)0.3%,0.53-0.07%0.1%2.51.6-0.31.9NAN%-2.10.86   29(0.17%)28.95-29.12Breakout 29.03(0.1%)28.92-29.0765
20Feb_28_20200%-2.2% -0.1%,-0.1(0.1)0.3%,0.5(0.4)0.4%,0.71.50.17%-0.1%2.43.10.21.7NAN%-2.60.76   28.95(1.05%)28.75-28.95Uptrend Reversal 29(0.17%)28.96-29.0366
 
21Feb_27_2020-1%-1.2% -0.1%,-0.2(0.1)0.1%,0.1(0.3)0.2%,0.40.3-0.03%-0.2%0.53.501.8NAN%-3.20.63   28.65(0.35%)28.63-28.75Rebound 28.62(-0.09%)28.66-28.6155
22Feb_26_2020-1.3%-0.8% -0.2%,-0.3(0)-0.1%,-0.1(0.2)0.1%,0.21.20%-0.3%-0.34.2-0.61.8NAN%-2.30.29   28.55(-0.31%)28.53-28.63Rebound 28.58(0.09%)28.54-28.5947
23Feb_25_2020-1%-1.1% -0.2%,-0.4(0)-0.2%,-0.3(0.2)0.1%,0.22.10%-0.3%0.34.6-0.61.8NAN%-3.10.24   28.64(0.19%)28.6-28.71Rebound 28.61(-0.1%)28.61-28.6142
24Feb_24_2020-1.2%-1% -0.2%,-0.3(0)-0.3%,-0.5(0.3)0%,0.11.20%-0.3%-0.16.1-11.9NAN%-3.20.29   28.59(0.33%)28.49-28.6Rebound 28.58(-0.02%)28.54-28.635
25Feb_21_2020-1.5%-0.6% -0.2%,-0.3(0)-0.4%,-0.8(0.2)0%,0-0.60.07%-0.4%-0.8-6.3-1.32NAN%-0.60.1   28.49(0.6%)28.38-28.5Downtrend 28.44(-0.18%)28.41-28.5124
iDateTo High-Lowema20
Trend
ema10
Trend
ema5
Trend
Hourly
Trend
Last
Hour
EMA
Ratio
BBVHourly
BBV
RVVSIVVIXCDVolume
millions
Close  5 Day
Target  
Trend
Narrative
  5 Day
Price Change  
SRIRSI
Click to see actual return for next trading day.
 
 
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