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     Wed. Mar. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: AVB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(AvalonBay Communities Inc.)

AVB latest price $140.7800 (10.45%) ($123.7000 - $149.2700) on Wed. Mar. 25, 2020.


Trend Analysis and Forecast
 
Average Daily Percentage Swing  4.39% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $140.7800(10.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly  Similar Stock List
Daily Trend  AVB declines -1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend  AVB declines -19% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior  Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs  Broad market will support AVB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
  XLRE(75%)    SDY(68%)    SPLV(68%)    IWD(66%)    IVE(65%)  
Factors Impacting AVB price  AVB will decline at least -2.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
  VIXM(-37%)    UUP(-18%)    VXX(-13%)    TLT(-12%)    SHY(0%)  
 
 
Relative Volatility   (options are extremely cheap)
 
Market Trend Strength  -2.195% (StdDev 4.39%)
Hourly BBV   1.7 ()
Intraday Trend   12.4%
  
 

  


Inflection Point  Yes
Resistance Level  $179.01
5 Day Moving Average  $133.5(5.45%)
10 Day Moving Average  $152.84(-7.89%)
20 Day Moving Average  $179.01(-21.36%)
To recent high  -38.3%
To recent low  16.3%
Market Cap  $19.814b
 
 
 
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is a real estate investment trust, which engages in the development, redevelopment, acquisition, ownership, and operation of multifamily communities. It operates through the following segments: Established Communities, Other Stabilized Communities, and Development or Redevelopment Communities. The Established Communities segment refers to the operating communities that were owned and had stabilized occupancy. The Other Stabilized Communities segment includes all other completed communities that have stabilized occupancy. The Development or Redevelopment Communities segment consists of communities that are under construction. The company was founded by Gilbert M. Meyer in 1978 and is headquartered in Arlington, VA.

$. AVB price fluctuates within 18.04% (three month std-dev: 4.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6   Average positive next day return: 7.44%(67%)   Average negative next day return: -4.35%(33%)
Sample size 6   Average positive next three day return: 17.09%(83%)   Average negative next three day return: -4.65%(17%)
Sample size 6   Average positive next weekly return: 19.77%(100%)   Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis   News   Options   Weekly Chart   Daily Chart   2 Month Daily Chart   

  >  20200425

iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
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Fast Hourly
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ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
1Mar_25_2020207.58179.01152.84133.5 130.61 130.63140.78(10.45%)DPOpenShort-650.2   -47   -60   21   -252   1.94    37%-0.35-64.44.39%1.7-1.233-0.7
2Mar_24_2020208.31183.05158.1136.12 134 126.02127.46(5.27%)DPOpenShort-75-0.3   -192   -460   -146   -331   2.24    32%-0.43-64.84.19%-0.4-1.727-0.6
3Mar_23_2020209.22187.89166.14146.95 141.93 130.59121.08(-8.01%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -273   -660   -252   -336   2.07    30%-0.48-62.44.12%-1.5-2.228-0.8
4Mar_20_2020210.22193.34174.02155.43 153.87 141.97131.62(-10.2%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -259   -570   -242   -310   1.56    31%-0.42-64.44.02%-1.6-2.329-1.5
5Mar_19_2020211.11198.35181.96167.73 162.53 153.26146.57(-4.75%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -268   -490   -264   -279   1.29    34%-0.36-62.13.83%-1.3-2.333-1.7
 
6Mar_18_2020211.87202.54188.78174.82 172.71 165.77153.88(-15.26%)DTOpenShort-75-1   -169   -320   -157   -205   1.56    36%-0.3-62.93.79%-2.4-2.435-2.4
7Mar_17_2020212.51206.31195.32183.21 179.41 171.79181.59(11.08%)DPOpenShort-75-0.1   -200   -360   -198   -207   1.99    41%-0.17-61.73.27%0.3-1.438-2.2
8Mar_16_2020212.88208.67198.09188.66 185.91 179.66163.47(-15.37%)DTOpenShort-75-1.5   -231   -280   -235   -220   1.46    33%-0.27-552.93%-2.3-2.828-2.7
9Mar_13_2020213.46212.05203.03195.4 194.29 187.03193.16(6.14%)DPOpenShort-75-0.2   -177   -280   -167   -206   1.34    41%-0.13-54.12.2%0-1.534-1.9
10Mar_12_2020213.74213.72204.57198.58 196.87 192.17181.98(-7.08%)DTOpenShort-75-1.3   -330   -190   -343   -290   1.77    34%-0.19-48.12.04%-1.6-2.625-2.6
 
11Mar_11_2020214.15215.97207.39204.85 202.52 201.56195.85(-6.22%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -106   -70   -82   -178   1.1    37%-0.13-40.21.85%-1.7-231-2.2
12Mar_10_2020214.43217.41209.93209.22 206.14 201.57208.84(5.92%)DPOpenShort-75-0   -122   -200   -105   -172   1.35    42%-0.06-30.81.68%1-0.937-2
13Mar_9_2020214.56218.09211.09209.2 208.84 203.49197.17(-5.69%)DTHoldShort-65-1.4   -306   -180   -313   -284   1.29    34%-0.11-29.51.5%-1.4-2.424-2.7
14Mar_6_2020214.8219.31213.98211.7 211.65 210.72209.06(-1.99%)DTOpenShort-75-0.4   -139   -30   -117   -205   0.92    39%-0.05-24.91.31%-1.4-1.430-2.3
15Mar_5_2020214.91219.88215.81211.42 211.05 214.19213.31(-2.03%)N/AN/A00.3   74   100   134   -108   0.8    41%-0.03-271.29%-0.5-0.936-2.1
 
16Mar_4_2020214.97220.15217.11210.29 208.33 212.58217.72(4.31%)RBSmallLong201.1   115   110   187   -101   0.99    45%0-31.51.26%1.4-0.442-1.6
17Mar_3_2020214.96220.22217.84210.99 208.04 207.91208.73(-0.45%)N/AN/A0-0.3   17   -50   74   -153   1.1    40%-0.05-29.61.14%0.9-1.731-2.3
18Mar_2_2020215.06220.71219.79213.53 210.81 204.08209.67(0.96%)DPOpenShort-75-0.6   -313   -260   -327   -270   1.28    38%-0.04-22.51.15%0.1-1.835-1.9
19Feb_28_2020215.15221.14221.63216.75 215.53 208.18207.67(0%)DTHoldShort-50-1.6   -524   -260   -592   -319   1.69    38%-0.05-111.15%-1.3-2.337-2.8
20Feb_27_2020215.26221.76223.56220.82 221.42 217.53207.67(-6.13%)DTOpenShort-75-2.6   -305   -110   -353   -159   1.12    38%-0.069.31.16%-2.5-2.837-3.1
 
21Feb_26_2020215.38222.31225.43224.72 225 222.88221.22(-0.09%)DTOpenShort-75-0.9   -148   -60   -193   -13   0.91    49%0.0238.50.85%-0.9-0.362-2.4
22Feb_25_2020215.34222.23225.67225.63 226.14 225.31221.41(-1.94%)CRSmallShort-20-1   -99   -20   -143   33   0.85    49%0.0145.10.88%-2-0.259-3.2
23Feb_24_2020215.32222.13225.79226.97 226.95 227.11225.79(-0.98%)UDOpenLong65-0.3   30   0   -5   134   0.73    52%0.03570.84%-1.10.974-3.1
24Feb_21_2020215.25221.79225.19227.31 227.22 226.97228.02(0.38%)UTHoldLong650.2   59   -10   24   165   0.81    51%0.0565.80.83%11.582-0.8
25Feb_20_2020215.14221.3224.33226.83 226.99 226.79227.15(0.6%)UTHoldLong500.1   18   -0   -23   139   0.78    51%74.70.86%01.5740.4
iDateema100ema20ema10 ema5 Slow Hourly
Trend
Fast Hourly
Trend
ClosePatternTradePSMA5
BBV
 WTF lsma10
Trend
ema5
Trend
ema10
Trend
Volume
millions
Quarterly
Strength
100
Daily
Trend
Daily
Trend
Force
Daily
StdDev
Hourly
BBV
BBVRSIVIXCD
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