Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 17, 2018

Trading Signals: AMZN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Wed. Apr. 24, 2024)

(Amazon)
AMZN latest price $1831.7300 (0.65%) ($1807.0000 - $1845.0000) on Wed. Oct. 17, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $1831.7300(0.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMZN advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMZN declines -5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMZN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(45%)    VUG(45%)    IWF(44%)    IVW(43%)    XLK(43%)
Factors Impacting AMZN price   AMZN will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-11%)    UUP(-7%)    VIXM(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    UNG(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $1890.49
5 Day Moving Average   $1784.12(2.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $1818.79(0.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $1890.49(-3.11%)
To recent high   -10.2%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $917.697b

Amazon.com, Inc. engages in the provision of online retail shopping services. It operates through the following business segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The North America segment includes retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through North America-focused websites such as www.amazon.com and www.amazon.ca. The International segment offers retail sales of consumer products and subscriptions through internationally-focused websites. The Amazon Web Services segment involves in the global sales of compute, storage, database, and AWS service offerings for start-ups, enterprises, government agencies, and academic institutions. The company was founded by Jeffrey P. Bezos in July 1994 and is headquartered in Seattle, WA.

$. AMZN price fluctuates within 4.56% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 3.82%(28%) Average negative next day return: -1.27%(72%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 6.08%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.61%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 6.12%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.05%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20181117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2018	1833.85	1890.49	1818.79	1784.12	1796.8	1814.43	1831.73(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1152	90	1410	377	5.3	52%	0.12	-49.1	1.67%	0	-0.7	30	-1
2	Oct_16_2018	1831.64	1895.42	1829.45	1768.83	1769.13	1784.27	1819.96(3.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	36	60	104	-167	5.86	52%	-0.01	-58	1.67%	0	-0.9	35	-0.9
3	Oct_15_2018	1831.76	1901.72	1843.38	1778.9	1771.46	1779.17	1760.95(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	209	20	307	-85	6.44	49%	0.08	-59	1.62%	0	-1.7	27	-1.7
4	Oct_12_2018	1830.22	1909.9	1867.23	1799.59	1796.09	1753.99	1788.61(4.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-634	-170	-693	-456	9.44	51%	0.1	-58.7	1.61%	0	-1.6	36	-2.1
5	Oct_11_2018	1828.33	1919.4	1888.4	1819.8	1816.27	1763.75	1719.36(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-2819	-210	-3272	-1460	13.94	48%	0.07	-54	1.56%	0	-2.7	29	-3.6

6	Oct_10_2018	1827.13	1933.75	1918.69	1857.81	1861	1838.18	1755.25(-6.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-1396	-80	-1612	-746	10.99	50%	0.1	-48.9	1.54%	0	-3	29	-3.5
7	Oct_9_2018	1825.36	1946.25	1942.17	1897.31	1891.31	1868.8	1870.32(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-974	-90	-1129	-510	4.77	57%	0.16	-42.8	1.34%	0	-1.8	44	-1.3
8	Oct_8_2018	1822.45	1952.33	1953.21	1917.51	1915.97	1883.83	1864.42(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-1535	-120	-1798	-746	7.39	57%	0.16	-38.9	1.35%	0	-2.2	40	-0.9
9	Oct_5_2018	1819.49	1956.64	1961.52	1945.5	1945.94	1913.82	1889.65(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-1651	-110	-1946	-764	6.82	57%	0.17	-32.4	1.34%	0	-2	50	-0.2
10	Oct_4_2018	1816.35	1960.18	1965.41	1968.17	1974.91	1948.12	1909.42(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-1344	-80	-1591	-604	7.26	57%	0.18	-23.4	1.33%	0	-1.6	43	0.1

11	Oct_3_2018	1813.06	1962.93	1969.79	1988.88	1994.87	1978.05	1952.76(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-924	-50	-1102	-389	5.25	60%	0.21	-11.3	1.31%	0	-0.3	45	1.3
12	Oct_2_2018	1809.22	1964.92	1967.76	1993.3	2003.43	2001.7	1971.31(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-252	10	-310	-79	5.4	60%	0.21	1.8	1.31%	0	0.2	47	1.1
13	Oct_1_2018	1805.45	1967.9	1964.92	1993.95	2000.29	2011.69	2004.36(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	519	50	599	277	3.47	62%	0.23	16.7	1.29%	0	1.1	51	1.2
14	Sep_28_2018	1801.35	1967.87	1955.33	1979.95	1985.86	2005.17	2003(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1034	80	1212	498	4.09	64%	0.22	19.2	1.29%	0	1	59	1.3
15	Sep_27_2018	1797.33	1967.46	1951.29	1962.35	1961.46	1988.89	2012.98(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	1058	100	1246	492	4.33	62%	0.23	18.1	1.32%	0	1.3	58	1.3

16	Sep_26_2018	1793.2	1966.3	1947.83	1948.61	1944.34	1966.54	1974.85(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1197	70	1413	547	4.31	60%	0.22	19.7	1.33%	0	0.3	52	1.3
17	Sep_25_2018	1789.3	1964.34	1948.6	1938.93	1936.21	1934.03	1974.55(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	516	-10	616	215	4.54	57%	0.21	18.1	1.34%	0	0.3	46	1.4
18	Sep_24_2018	1785.47	1962.14	1949.18	1932.23	1928.74	1922.13	1934.36(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-618	-30	-712	-335	4.21	55%	0.2	19.2	1.38%	0	-0.8	34	1.7
19	Sep_21_2018	1781.87	1961.16	1949.96	1926.96	1934.57	1938.4	1915.01(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	104	30	143	-15	6.86	55%	0.2	17.4	1.38%	0	-1.2	37	2.3
20	Sep_20_2018	1778.37	1961.14	1954.09	1938	1932.69	1935.35	1944.3(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	0	-38	-85	3.15	57%	0.22	27.2	1.38%	0	-0.4	42	2.6

21	Sep_19_2018	1774.55	1959.56	1955.58	1947.11	1941.81	1930.75	1926.42(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-313	-50	-348	-207	4.06	57%	0.2	35.8	1.38%	0	-0.8	40	2.6
22	Sep_18_2018	1771.03	1958	1962.4	1959.83	1958.56	1930.04	1941.05(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-973	-100	-1132	-494	4.27	57%	0.22	38.5	1.37%	0	-0.4	53	1.6
23	Sep_17_2018	1767.21	1955.3	1971.76	1969.05	1971.88	1952.87	1908.03(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-1209	-60	-1420	-577	7.05	55%	0.19	39.8	1.36%	0	-1	51	1.1
24	Sep_14_2018	1763.79	1954.65	1982.62	1975.24	1979.02	1987.08	1970.19(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	30	2	22	3.64	59%	0.26	42.2	1.29%	0	0.3	63	1.9
25	Sep_13_2018	1759.17	1950.71	1985.81	1971.62	1972.69	1990.89	1989.87(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	889	70	1035	452	3.62	59%		37.8	1.29%	0	0.8	67	1.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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