Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ AMGN: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 2, 2019

Trading Signals: AMGN Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Amgen)
AMGN latest price $233.5300 (-0.53%) ($233.5300 - $233.5300) on Mon. Dec. 2, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.03% (three month average)
RSI   77
Latest Price   $233.5300(-0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   AMGN advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   AMGN advances 3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support AMGN advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(60%)    SPLV(56%)    DIA(53%)    XLP(53%)    VYM(52%)
Factors Impacting AMGN price   AMGN will decline at least -0.515% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-34%)    TLT(-19%)    VXX(-12%)    TIP(-6%)    BWX(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.515% (StdDev 1.03%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $234.35(-0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $230.38(1.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $224.64(3.96%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $136.942b

Amgen, Inc. is a biotechnology company, which engages in the discovery, development, manufacture and marketing of human therapeutics. Its products include the following brands: Aranesp, BLINCYTO, Corlanor, ENBREL, EPOGEN, IMLYGIC, KYPROLIS, Neulasta, NEUPOGEN, Nplate, Parsabiv, Prolia, Repatha, Sensipar, Vectibix, and XGEVA. The company was founded by William K. Bowes, Jr., Franklin Pitcher Johnson, Jr., George B. Rathmann and Joseph Rubinfeld on April 8, 1980 and is headquartered in Thousand Oaks, CA.

$. AMGN price fluctuates within 3.14% (three month std-dev: 1.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(58%) Average negative next day return: -1.05%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 1.25%(58%) Average negative next three day return: -1.97%(42%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.07%(58%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.27%(42%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200102

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_2_2019	201.56	224.64	230.38	234.35	234.3	234.15	233.53(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-10	-27	175	1.57	52%	0.3	96.8	1.03%	0	1.3	77	0.6
2	Nov_29_2019	200.96	223.63	228.95	233.77	234.55	234.66	234.77(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	89	10	51	204	0.94	52%	0.38	105.2	1.03%	0	1.6	84	1.5
3	Nov_27_2019	200.2	222.44	227.46	232.42	233.52	234.45	234.55(0.09%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	99	40	64	204	1.55	52%	0.27	103.2	1.02%	0	1.7	85	1.9
4	Nov_26_2019	199.67	221.07	226.1	230.6	231.89	234.44	234.35(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	190	90	173	240	3.29	59%	0.27	96.6	1.02%	0	1.9	86	2
5	Nov_25_2019	199.14	219.6	224.69	228.63	229.67	232.59	234.53(1.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	245	100	243	249	2.63	59%	0.25	90.2	1.08%	0	2.1	87	2.1

6	Nov_22_2019	198.65	218.02	223.26	225.84	227.15	229.34	230.65(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	203	80	204	201	1.96	51%	0.17	80.9	1.11%	0	1.8	71	1.6
7	Nov_21_2019	198.32	216.65	221.95	223.41	224.64	226.75	228.03(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	160	80	159	163	2.64	48%	0.2	71.6	1.1%	0	1.6	75	1.3
8	Nov_20_2019	197.92	215.41	220.76	221.75	222.26	224.97	225.46(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	157	90	158	155	3.52	45%	0.2	65.9	1.09%	0	1.4	75	1.3
9	Nov_19_2019	197.53	214.38	219.73	220.94	220.83	222.54	224.47(1.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	163	50	162	165	2.52	45%	0.2	64.3	1.11%	0	1.4	78	1.5
10	Nov_18_2019	197.14	213.3	218.71	220.18	220.05	219.56	220.61(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	45	-20	19	122	2.23	40%	0.25	62.7	1.1%	0	1.1	78	1.8

11	Nov_14_2019	196.64	212.42	218.44	220.3	220.08	219.11	218.5(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	913	-30	1029	564	2.75	40%	0.18	63.7	1.12%	0	0.9	78	1.5
12	Nov_13_2019	196.28	211.68	217.97	220.19	179.28	220.55	219.72(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	899	1050	1009	569	2.34	40%	0.18	66.7	1.21%	0	1.1	81	1.3
13	Nov_12_2019	195.92	210.85	217.14	219.52	137.97	221.05	221.38(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	3883	3100	4515	1985	2.69	50%	0.19	70.8	1.2%	0	1.5	84	1.5
14	Nov_11_2019	195.55	209.98	215.74	218.28	96.15	138	220.71(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3476	1370	4044	1771	1.36	50%	0.17	75.9	1.34%	0	1.6	78	1.4
15	Nov_8_2019	195.21	209.06	214.21	217.01	54.42	54.89	221.19(1.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	60	-2190	32	142	2.06	59%	0.19	78.5	1.51%	0	1.9	80	1.2

16	Nov_7_2019	194.84	208.01	212.41	216.39	53.99	54.29	217.96(0.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-2210	17	134	2.46	59%	0.19	85.4	1.51%	0	1.7	78	1.1
17	Nov_6_2019	194.48	207.04	210.96	215.46	54	53.94	216.37(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-2260	19	127	2.5	60%	0.18	88	1.51%	0	1.6	75	1
18	Nov_5_2019	194.13	206.04	209.65	214.37	53.81	53.69	215.15(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	-2260	3	111	2.99	56%	0.19	90.7	1.52%	0	1.6	74	1
19	Nov_4_2019	193.76	205.08	208.61	212.74	53.54	54.06	214.39(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-2180	25	102	2.62	56%	0.2	88.7	1.57%	0	1.7	68	1.3
20	Nov_1_2019	193.37	204.2	207.45	210.85	53.08	53.92	218.07(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	73	-2130	63	101	3.53	58%	0.21	85.4	1.55%	0	2.5	80	1.5

21	Oct_31_2019	192.96	203.04	205.84	207.84	52.26	53.03	213.31(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	56	-2140	51	70	3.06	62%	0.2	78.8	1.53%	0	2.1	79	1.2
22	Oct_30_2019	192.58	201.99	204.8	205.82	51.62	52.24	210.92(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	42	-2160	39	50	3.71	62%	0.19	63.6	1.68%	0	1.8	79	1.4
23	Oct_29_2019	192.21	200.92	203.97	204.3	51.14	51.5	207(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	27	-2200	22	40	4.36	60%	0.17	51.5	1.66%	0	1.3	79	1.3
24	Oct_28_2019	191.89	200.22	203.69	203.91	51.14	51	204.97(0.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	18	-2240	9	45	1.65	60%	0.16	46.6	1.66%	0	1	78	1.3
25	Oct_25_2019	191.59	199.66	203.47	203.5	50.91	50.78	203.02(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-2270	-1	47	1.3	60%		41	1.66%	0	0.7	70	1.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.