Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 19, 2024

Trading Signals: QQQ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Apr. 19, 2024)

(PowerShares QQQ ETF)
QQQ latest price $414.7200 (-1.97%) ($413.1200 - $414.7200) on Fri. Apr. 19, 2024.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.05% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $414.7200(-1.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   QQQ declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   QQQ declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support QQQ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVW(98%)    SMH(93%)    SPY(88%)    XBI(77%)    IWO(72%)
Factors Impacting QQQ price   QQQ will decline at least -0.525% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-70%)    VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-17%)    UUP(-9%)    IVE(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.525% (StdDev 1.05%)
Hourly BBV -1.9 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $437.61
5 Day Moving Average   $425.56(-2.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $432.68(-4.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $437.61(-5.23%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

Fed Fund Rate   % ()
Yield Curve    (0)
Credit Spread    (0)

$. QQQ price fluctuates within 1.9% (three month std-dev: 1.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 37 Average positive next day return: 1.37%(51%) Average negative next day return: -1.31%(49%) Sample size 37 Average positive next three day return: 1.83%(65%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(35%) Sample size 37 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(59%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.58%(41%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart Hourly Chart 15 Minute Chart

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_19_2024	424.03	437.61	432.68	425.56	424.06	418.7	414.72(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-399	-100	-438	-281	71.67	55%	0.06	-47.9	1.05%	-1.9	-2.8	27	-2.3
2	Apr_18_2024	423.76	439.28	435.47	430.22	428.26	424.94	423.07(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-310	-70	-341	-215	41.12	60%	0.08	-36.9	1.05%	-1.5	-2.5	31	-1.6
3	Apr_17_2024	423.41	440.37	436.85	434.75	432.01	429.43	426.8(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-224	-60	-247	-156	49.25	60%	0.09	-19.7	1.06%	-1.4	-2.5	34	-2
4	Apr_16_2024	423.03	441.05	438.45	437.1	436.77	431.59	432.06(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-178	-90	-197	-122	42.96	62%	0.11	-14.1	1.05%	-0.8	-2.1	39	-2.2
5	Apr_15_2024	422.58	441.39	439.41	438.96	438.39	434.59	431.13(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-376	-60	-432	-208	55.41	62%	0.1	-2.2	1.05%	-2.2	-2.6	36	-3

6	Apr_12_2024	422.15	441.64	440.87	440.83	440.96	441.95	438.06(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	20	-32	-37	45.88	64%	0.04	4.9	1.04%	-0.8	-1	39	-2.8
7	Apr_11_2024	421.98	441.71	441.52	441.46	441.56	442.19	445.69(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	125	10	154	38	41.15	67%	0.14	1.2	1.01%	2.4	1.1	48	1
8	Apr_10_2024	421.4	441.41	441.33	439.37	440.4	439.97	438.54(-0.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	0	-27	-49	55.92	66%	0.13	-13.9	0.99%	-1	-0.8	43	-0.4
9	Apr_9_2024	420.87	441.67	441.82	440.06	439.57	440.93	441.4(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	20	1	-28	34.89	66%	0.13	1.3	0.99%	-0.3	-0.1	56	-0.3
10	Apr_8_2024	420.33	441.48	442.15	440.01	439.72	440.83	440.47(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	99	20	122	29	24.47	68%	0.14	-8.6	0.99%	-0.3	-0.3	57	-0.3

11	Apr_5_2024	419.76	441.44	442.75	440.99	439.9	438.21	441.18(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-45	-30	-54	-19	47.63	68%	0.14	-8.5	1.02%	-0.7	-0.1	63	-1.1
12	Apr_4_2024	419.18	441.67	443.24	441.67	440.95	438.62	435.26(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-187	-40	-225	-73	55.88	67%	0.13	4.7	1.01%	-1.9	-1.7	48	-0.4
13	Apr_3_2024	418.65	441.9	444.14	443.52	443.29	441.6	442.01(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-80	-30	-105	-6	36.37	70%	0.14	25	0.99%	-0.1	0	54	0.4
14	Apr_2_2024	418.05	441.63	443.9	443.79	443.92	443.28	441.13(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-80	-10	-104	-9	38.42	66%	0.16	23.5	1%	-0.9	-0.1	46	0.3
15	Apr_1_2024	417.38	441.77	443.63	444.54	444.44	444.98	445.37(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	10	23	48	33.64	66%	0.29	37.2	1.01%	0.4	1	62	0.7

16	Mar_28_2024	416.19	441.74	442.56	444.81	444.32	444.56	444.58(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	0	15	41	31.41	66%	0.18	50.6	1.02%	0.2	0.8	57	1.1
17	Mar_27_2024	415.44	441.48	441.98	445.13	444.86	443.9	444.53(0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-20	-20	21	34.58	66%	0.18	52.8	1.02%	-1.1	0.8	47	1.6
18	Mar_26_2024	414.69	441.03	441.98	444.88	444.86	444.09	443.32(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-62	-20	-82	-3	32	66%	0.19	62.9	1.02%	-1.3	0.6	55	1.4
19	Mar_25_2024	413.92	440.74	441.51	443.97	445.27	445.82	444.9(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	21	41	24.36	66%	0.2	69.7	1.02%	-0.5	1.1	59	1.8
20	Mar_22_2024	413.11	440.34	440.72	442.47	443.73	446.45	446.74(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	144	50	165	80	24	66%	0.21	68.2	1.02%	0.5	1.7	51	1.8

21	Mar_21_2024	412.25	439.84	439.92	439.92	441.39	444.72	446.15(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	235	60	280	98	35.65	67%	0.23	57.3	1.02%	1	1.8	49	1.9
22	Mar_20_2024	411.32	439.43	439.79	438.44	438.27	441.02	443.3(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	149	40	180	56	37.26	65%	0.23	42.6	1.03%	2.5	0.9	53	1.6
23	Mar_19_2024	410.36	438.58	439.32	437.77	437.13	438.07	438.75(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	89	10	110	27	37.46	64%	0.23	32.5	1.04%	0.5	0	54	1.6
24	Mar_18_2024	409.42	438.03	439.09	438.79	437.44	435.52	437.43(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-70	-40	-79	-43	44.71	64%	0.24	29.9	1.04%	0.5	-0.1	51	1.3
25	Mar_15_2024	408.46	437.73	439.72	438.69	439.05	436.2	433.95(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-155	-40	-181	-76	73.03	64%		22.8	1.04%	-1.3	-0.7	49	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD